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Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) stock analysis

STRLNasdaqHeavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - ContractorsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 22/3025% below fair value
$303.85+14.29 (+4.94%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $9.27BP/E 17.1Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth6Performance6Health5Dividend0

Strong22 of 30 checks passed

Sterling Infrastructure passes 22 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
6/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 24.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $303.85 is below our fair value estimate of $404.83.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 43.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 27.5% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 51.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • P/B above the industry

    Sterling Infrastructure's price-to-book of 6.15 is above the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 5.11.

  • No dividend

    Sterling Infrastructure has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Sterling Infrastructure's P/E of 17.1 is below its own 5-year median of 21.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    Sterling Infrastructure's P/E of 17.1 is below the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 28.1.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Sterling Infrastructure's EV/EBITDA of 10.4 is below its 5-year median of 11.3.

  • P/B above the industry

    Sterling Infrastructure's price-to-book of 6.15 is above the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 5.11.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $303.85 is below our fair value estimate of $404.83.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 24.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth6/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 12.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 39.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 75.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 47.0% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 93.1% over the last twelve months; the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median is 5.2%.

  • Guidance raised

    Sterling Infrastructure raised its Full Year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA outlook on Oct 28, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 23.8% over the last twelve months, against 23.1% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 43.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 27.5% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 51.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Sterling Infrastructure's return on equity of 43.3% is above the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 14.8%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 47.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 12.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Sterling Infrastructure's net margin of 12.9% is above the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 1.6%.

Financial health5/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 6.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 138% five years ago to 6.3%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 644% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.04 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.43; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Sterling Infrastructure has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$404.83

The share price is 25% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$303.85Price$404.83Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E24.5×21.0×28.1×$436.7953%
EV/EBITDA12.6×11.3×13.9×$368.3047%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others12.3% cost of equity––$108.04–
Fair value$404.83100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 21.0
  • Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median 28.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$366.50M
Value traded per 1% price move
$87.69M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
40.8%
Volatility (annualized)
95%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.27
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.48

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

23.0%+8.3 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

16.3%+8.8 pts over 5 years

Net margin

11.7%+8.2 pts over 5 years

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