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Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (CDNL) stock analysis

CDNLNasdaqHeavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - ContractorsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 12, 2026Score 6/304% below fair value
$14.99+0.39 (+2.67%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $711.62MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth1Performance1Health2Dividend0

Weak6 of 30 checks passed

Cardinal Infrastructure passes 6 of the 30 checks behind our score; 17 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $14.99 is below our fair value estimate of $15.55.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 26.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22.4% of total debt.

  • Guidance raised

    Cardinal Infrastructure raised its full year 2026 Revenue outlook on Aug 11, 2026.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • High debt

    Debt is 71.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.9 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.29; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Cardinal Infrastructure's price-to-book of 2.72 is below the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 5.11.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $14.99 is below our fair value estimate of $15.55.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growth over 3 years

    Needs three years of positive revenue.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growth against the industry

    Needs revenue for this year and last.

  • Guidance raised

    Cardinal Infrastructure raised its full year 2026 Revenue outlook on Aug 11, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 26.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Cardinal Infrastructure's return on equity of 2.5% is below the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 14.8%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Cardinal Infrastructure's net margin of 0.9% is below the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 1.6%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 71.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22.4% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.9 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.53 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.29; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Cardinal Infrastructure has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$15.55

The share price is 4% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$14.99Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA13.9×–13.9×$11.9478%
P/B5.1×–5.1×$28.1622%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others9.9% cost of equity––$2.46–
Fair value$15.55100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$19.45M
Value traded per 1% price move
$3.89M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
50.4%
Volatility (annualized)
100%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.43
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
–

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2023 to 2025

Gross margin

21.1%

Operating margin

8.9%

Net margin

5.0%

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