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RLI Corp (RLI) stock analysis

RLINYSEFire, Marine & Casualty InsuranceFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 21, 2026Score 10/3017% above fair value
$69.12+0.42 (+0.61%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $6.34BP/E 16.1Yield 3.80%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth0Performance5Health0Dividend4

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

RLI passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 22.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 28.7% over five years.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 20.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • P/E below its 5-year median

    RLI's P/E of 16.0 is below its own 5-year median of 18.3.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 80.9% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 17.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $68.70 is above our fair value estimate of $58.49.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -11.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    RLI's P/E of 16.0 is below its own 5-year median of 18.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    RLI's P/E of 16.0 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 10.4.

  • P/S above the industry

    RLI's price-to-sales of 3.24 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.28.

  • P/B above the industry

    RLI's price-to-book of 3.72 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.62.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $68.70 is above our fair value estimate of $58.49.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 17.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -11.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 11.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.8% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 4.6% over the last twelve months; the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median is 5.0%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 22.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 28.7% over five years.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 6.2%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    RLI's return on equity of 22.1% is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 15.9%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 20.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 20.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 23.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    RLI's net margin of 20.3% is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 12.0%.

Financial health0/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term liquidity

    Insurers do not split assets into current and non-current.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    The Altman model does not apply to insurers.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    RLI paid dividends worth 6.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 6.8% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; RLI yields 6.8%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 109% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 80.9% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$58.49

The share price is 17% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$68.70Price$58.49Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E14.4×18.3×10.4×$61.6450%
P/B3.0×4.3×1.6×$55.3550%
Fair value$58.49100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 18.3
  • Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median 10.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$58.72M
Value traded per 1% price move
$37.83M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.4%
Volatility (annualized)
27%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.26
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.32

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

21.4%+5.5 pts over 5 years

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