Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $948.85MP/E 9.2Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid15 of 30 checks passed
Riley Exploration Permian passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 26.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $42.83 is below our fair value estimate of $58.41.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 16.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 23.8% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 23.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.09; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
P/E above its 5-year median
Riley Exploration Permian's P/E of 9.2 is above its own 5-year median of 5.9.
P/B above the industry
Riley Exploration Permian's price-to-book of 1.52 is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 17.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 22.1%.
Valuation4/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Riley Exploration Permian's P/E of 9.2 is above its own 5-year median of 5.9.
P/E below the industry
Riley Exploration Permian's P/E of 9.2 is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 10.4.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Riley Exploration Permian's EV/EBITDA of 3.1 is below its 5-year median of 4.3.
P/B above the industry
Riley Exploration Permian's price-to-book of 1.52 is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $42.83 is below our fair value estimate of $58.41.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 26.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 331% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 45.5% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.
Guidance raised
Riley Exploration Permian raised its Q3 2026 Total Investments outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 16.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 23.8% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 23.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Riley Exploration Permian's return on equity of 16.8% is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 5.5%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 17.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 22.1%.
Net margin above the industry
Riley Exploration Permian's net margin of 17.3% is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 3.8%.
Financial health3/6
Low debt
Debt is 38.4% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 1.7% five years ago to 38.4%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 119% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 9.5 times.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.41 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.09; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
Riley Exploration Permian paid dividends worth 2.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Riley Exploration Permian yields 2.8%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$58.41
The share price is 27% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 8.1× | 5.9× | 10.4× | $37.72 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.8× | 4.3× | 5.3× | $71.06 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.4× | 1.4× | 1.3× | $38.59 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 10.3% cost of equity | – | – | $97.28 | 15% |
| Fair value | $58.41 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 5.9
- Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median 10.4
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $12.05M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $5.50M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 14.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 47%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.45
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.08
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2008 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -4.4% | – | – | +51.5% | |
| Operating income | -13.3% | – | – | – | |
| Net income | +80.9% | – | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +78.2% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2013 | FY2017 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 8.9% | -13.6% | 28.1% | |
| Return on assets | 6.7% | -6.9% | 14.9% | |
| Current ratio | 1.96 | 2.45 | 0.60 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.39 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 0.42× | -1.40× | 1.02× | |
| Interest coverage | 14.6× | -15.0× | 4.2× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.0% | – | – | |
| Diluted shares | 1M | 1M | 21M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Riley Exploration Permian does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 41.0% | 0.36× | 1.89× | 28.1% |
| FY2024 | 21.7% | 0.42× | 2.08× | 19.1% |
| FY2019 | -8.9% | 0.53× | 1.40× | -6.6% |
| FY2018 | 26.7% | 0.67× | 1.47× | 26.3% |
| FY2017 | -12.3% | 0.56× | 1.97× | -13.6% |
| FY2016 | -89.9% | 0.45× | 1.91× | -78.2% |
| FY2015 | -401.1% | 0.25× | 1.24× | -124.8% |
| FY2014 | -5.7% | 0.36× | 1.18× | -2.4% |
| FY2013 | 18.0% | 0.37× | 1.33× | 8.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$160.84M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$212.54M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year9.4% → 16.2%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$212.54M vs $160.84M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell25.1% → 19.5%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.55 → 0.60
- No dilutionShare count did not rise21M → 21M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.43 → 0.39
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