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Redwire Corp (RDW) stock analysis

RDWNYSEGuided Missiles & Space Vehicles & PartsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 9/30
$8.40+0.27 (+3.32%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.10BP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth3Performance1Health4Dividend0

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

Redwire passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 16 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 2.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 27.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.02; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • P/B below the industry

    Redwire's price-to-book of 1.31 is below the Transportation Equipment median of 1.85.

What to watch

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -14.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -254% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Redwire's return on equity of -17.8% is below the Transportation Equipment median of 2.7%.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -52.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -48.5%.

Valuation1/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Redwire's price-to-book of 1.31 is below the Transportation Equipment median of 1.85.

  • Price against fair value

    We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.

  • Margin of safety

    Depends on the fair value estimate.

Growth3/6

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 27.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 45.8% over the last twelve months; the Transportation Equipment median is 43.8%.

  • Guidance unchanged

    The latest outlook (full year ended December 31, 2026 revenues, Aug 5, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 24.1% over the last twelve months, against 3.9% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6

  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -14.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Redwire's return on equity of -17.8% is below the Transportation Equipment median of 2.7%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -52.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -48.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Redwire's net margin of -52.4% is above the Transportation Equipment median of -65.7%.

Financial health4/6

  • Low debt

    Debt is 2.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 198% five years ago to 2.9%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -254% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 4.20 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.02; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    Redwire has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

We don't publish a fair value for Redwire. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/B at month end
  • Own 5-year median 2.1
  • Transportation Equipment median 1.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$114.19M
Value traded per 1% price move
$32.31M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
46.9%
Volatility (annualized)
115%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.28
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
2.26

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025

Gross margin

5.2%

Operating margin

-68.5%

Net margin

-67.6%

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