Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $5.92BP/E 114.6Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Karman passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.3%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 27.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.85; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Guidance raised
Karman raised its full fiscal year 2026 total revenue outlook on Aug 6, 2026.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 255% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $44.69 is above our fair value estimate of $12.60.
High debt
Debt is 194% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 1.9 times; we look for at least 5.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E above the industry
Karman's P/E of 114.6 is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 27.6.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Karman's price-to-book of 13.41 is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 2.88.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $44.69 is above our fair value estimate of $12.60.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 255% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 27.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 56.3% over the last twelve months; the Aircraft and Parts median is 16.9%.
Guidance raised
Karman raised its full fiscal year 2026 total revenue outlook on Aug 6, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 42.1% over the last twelve months, against 40.0% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.3%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Karman's return on equity of 12.4% is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 9.1%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 0.7%.
Net margin above the industry
Karman's net margin of 7.5% is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 5.5%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 194% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 3.8% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 1.9 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 3.10 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.85; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Karman has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$12.60
The share price is 255% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 27.6× | – | 27.6× | $10.78 | 47% |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.8× | – | 16.8× | $15.54 | 41% |
| P/B | 2.9× | – | 2.9× | $9.60 | 12% |
| Fair value | $12.60 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- EV/EBITDA at month end
- Aircraft and Parts median 16.8
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $124.36M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $34.14M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 39.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 87%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.49
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.54
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2022 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +36.6% | +27.7% | – | – | |
| Gross profit | +43.8% | +32.9% | – | – | |
| Operating income | +14.8% | +52.8% | – | – | |
| Net income | +36.7% | – | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +62.5% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
4 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2022 | FY2022 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | 6.0% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 1.8% | |
| Current ratio | – | – | 3.29 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | 1.30 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | 4.02× | |
| Interest coverage | 0.5× | 0.5× | 1.6× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | 27.4× | |
| Capex to revenue | 9.4% | 9.4% | 4.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 159M | 159M | 132M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Karman does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 3.7% | 0.50× | 3.25× | 6.0% |
| FY2024 | 3.7% | 0.47× | 3.92× | 6.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$17.37M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero-$22.12M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.8% → 2.2%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income-$22.12M vs $17.37M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell42.2% → 44.9%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.76 → 3.29
- No dilutionShare count did not rise167M → 132M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year38.27% → 40.30%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.49 → 0.61
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