StockData
Karman Holdings Inc. logo

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) stock analysis

KRMNNYSEAircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NECFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 10/30255% above fair value
$44.69+0.78 (+1.78%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $5.92BP/E 114.6Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth4Performance4Health2Dividend0

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Karman passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.3%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 27.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.85; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Guidance raised

    Karman raised its full fiscal year 2026 total revenue outlook on Aug 6, 2026.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 255% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $44.69 is above our fair value estimate of $12.60.

  • High debt

    Debt is 194% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 1.9 times; we look for at least 5.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E above the industry

    Karman's P/E of 114.6 is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 27.6.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Karman's price-to-book of 13.41 is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 2.88.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $44.69 is above our fair value estimate of $12.60.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 255% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 27.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 56.3% over the last twelve months; the Aircraft and Parts median is 16.9%.

  • Guidance raised

    Karman raised its full fiscal year 2026 total revenue outlook on Aug 6, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 42.1% over the last twelve months, against 40.0% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.3%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Karman's return on equity of 12.4% is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 9.1%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 7.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 0.7%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Karman's net margin of 7.5% is above the Aircraft and Parts median of 5.5%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 194% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 3.8% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 1.9 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.10 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.85; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Karman has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$12.60

The share price is 255% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$44.69Price$12.60Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E27.6×–27.6×$10.7847%
EV/EBITDA16.8×–16.8×$15.5441%
P/B2.9×–2.9×$9.6012%
Fair value$12.60100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • EV/EBITDA at month end
  • Aircraft and Parts median 16.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$124.36M
Value traded per 1% price move
$34.14M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
39.0%
Volatility (annualized)
87%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.49
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.54

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2022 to 2025

Gross margin

40.3%

Operating margin

15.5%

Net margin

3.7%

See a number that looks wrong?