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Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) stock analysis

PFGCNYSEWholesale-Groceries, General LineFiscal year ends July 3
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Sep 26, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 9/3024% above fair value
$109.96−1.25 (-1.12%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $17.32BP/E 43.8Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance3Health4Dividend0

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

Performance Food passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 54.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 28.4% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.91; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 5.9% over the last twelve months; the Groceries and Related Products median is 5.2%.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 24.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $111.21 is above our fair value estimate of $89.54.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 6.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Performance Food's P/E of 44.3 is above its own 5-year median of 40.0.

  • P/E above the industry

    Performance Food's P/E of 44.3 is above the Groceries and Related Products median of 27.7.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Performance Food's EV/EBITDA of 12.8 is above its 5-year median of 12.5.

  • P/B above the industry

    Performance Food's price-to-book of 3.47 is above the Groceries and Related Products median of 3.47.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $111.21 is above our fair value estimate of $89.54.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 24.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -3.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 21.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 54.6% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 5.9% over the last twelve months; the Groceries and Related Products median is 5.2%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Performance Food lowered its full fiscal year 2026 net sales outlook on Feb 4, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 12.0% over the last twelve months, against 11.8% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 6.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Performance Food's return on equity of 8.2% is above the Groceries and Related Products median of 7.2%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 54.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 0.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 0.5%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Performance Food's net margin of 0.6% is below the Groceries and Related Products median of 1.0%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 102% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 106% five years ago to 102%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 28.4% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.3 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.61 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.91; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Performance Food has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$89.54

The share price is 24% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$111.21Price$89.54Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E33.9×40.0×27.7×$85.0940%
EV/EBITDA12.4×12.5×12.3×$106.3835%
P/B3.1×2.8×3.5×$99.9110%
Earnings power9.6% cost of equity––$55.1815%
Fair value$89.54100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 40.0
  • Groceries and Related Products median 27.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$174.83M
Value traded per 1% price move
$121.40M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.7%
Volatility (annualized)
33%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.30
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.94

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2013 to 2026

Gross margin

11.9%+0.3 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

1.3%+0.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

0.5%+0.4 pts over 5 years

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