Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $11.22BP/E 23.9Yield 0.15%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid20 of 30 checks passed
Paycom Software passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 26.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $242.66 is below our fair value estimate of $331.20.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 42.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 28.4% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 40.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
High debt
Debt is 106% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 12.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.9% a year.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.62; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Guidance lowered
Paycom Software lowered its year ending December 31, 2026 Interest on funds held for clients outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Paycom Software's P/E of 23.3 is below its own 5-year median of 32.0.
P/E below the industry
Paycom Software's P/E of 23.3 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 27.6.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Paycom Software's EV/EBITDA of 13.0 is below its 5-year median of 18.6.
P/B above the industry
Paycom Software's price-to-book of 15.46 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.32.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $242.66 is below our fair value estimate of $331.20.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 26.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 18.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 12.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.9% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 9.5% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.
Guidance lowered
Paycom Software lowered its year ending December 31, 2026 Interest on funds held for clients outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 84.0% over the last twelve months, against 82.9% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 42.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 28.4% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 40.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Paycom Software's return on equity of 42.2% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -1.2%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 25.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 23.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.6%.
Net margin above the industry
Paycom Software's net margin of 23.3% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.8%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 106% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 4.7% five years ago to 106%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 108% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 27.2 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.06 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.62; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Paycom Software paid dividends worth 0.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Paycom Software yields 0.6%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 14.3% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 11.1% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$331.20
The share price is 27% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 29.8× | 32.0× | 27.6× | $310.89 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 18.7× | 18.6× | 18.8× | $354.40 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 11.2% cost of equity | – | – | $83.16 | – |
| Fair value | $331.20 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 32.0
- Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 27.6
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $174.73M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $106.72M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 20.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 47%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.87
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.27
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +8.9% | +14.3% | +19.5% | +24.8% | |
| Gross profit | +10.2% | +13.6% | +18.9% | +24.6% | |
| Operating income | -10.6% | +14.4% | +25.0% | +32.3% | |
| Net income | -9.7% | +17.2% | +25.9% | +36.0% | |
| EPS, diluted | -9.4% | +18.6% | +26.9% | +36.5% | |
| Free cash flow | +19.6% | +20.6% | +25.1% | +31.5% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 46.3% | 24.3% | 27.4% | |
| Return on assets | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | |
| Current ratio | 1.03 | 1.09 | 1.09 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.14 | 0.05 | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -6.74× | -6.49× | – | |
| Interest coverage | 98.2× | 9795.9× | 166.8× | |
| Inventory turnover | 61.2× | 107.0× | 222.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | 13.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | |
| Diluted shares | 59M | 58M | 56M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Paycom Software generated $2.38B from operations and spent $1.97B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 46% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 22.1% | 0.30× | 4.07× | 27.4% |
| FY2024 | 26.7% | 0.37× | 3.49× | 34.9% |
| FY2023 | 20.1% | 0.42× | 3.26× | 27.4% |
| FY2022 | 20.5% | 0.39× | 3.43× | 27.1% |
| FY2021 | 18.6% | 0.36× | 3.76× | 25.3% |
| FY2020 | 17.0% | 0.33× | 4.31× | 24.3% |
| FY2019 | 24.5% | 0.37× | 4.65× | 41.9% |
| FY2018 | 24.2% | 0.37× | 4.99× | 44.5% |
| FY2017 | 28.5% | 0.33× | 5.40× | 50.7% |
| FY2016 | 21.4% | 0.34× | 6.43× | 46.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$453.40M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$678.90M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year12.0% → 7.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$678.90M vs $453.40M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.10 → 1.09
- No dilutionShare count did not rise56M → 56M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year82.23% → 83.17%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.45 → 0.35
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