StockData
Paycom Software, Inc. logo

Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) stock analysis

PAYCNYSEServices-Prepackaged SoftwareFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 20/3027% below fair value
$248.84+6.18 (+2.55%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $11.22BP/E 23.9Yield 0.15%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth3Performance6Health3Dividend3

Solid20 of 30 checks passed

Paycom Software passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 26.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $242.66 is below our fair value estimate of $331.20.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 42.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 28.4% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 40.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • High debt

    Debt is 106% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 12.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.9% a year.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.62; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Guidance lowered

    Paycom Software lowered its year ending December 31, 2026 Interest on funds held for clients outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Paycom Software's P/E of 23.3 is below its own 5-year median of 32.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    Paycom Software's P/E of 23.3 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 27.6.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Paycom Software's EV/EBITDA of 13.0 is below its 5-year median of 18.6.

  • P/B above the industry

    Paycom Software's price-to-book of 15.46 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.32.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $242.66 is below our fair value estimate of $331.20.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 26.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 14.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 18.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 12.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.9% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 9.5% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Paycom Software lowered its year ending December 31, 2026 Interest on funds held for clients outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 84.0% over the last twelve months, against 82.9% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 42.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 28.4% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 40.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Paycom Software's return on equity of 42.2% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -1.2%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 25.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 23.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Paycom Software's net margin of 23.3% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 106% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 4.7% five years ago to 106%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 108% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 27.2 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.06 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.62; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Paycom Software paid dividends worth 0.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Paycom Software yields 0.6%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 14.3% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 11.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$331.20

The share price is 27% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$242.66Price$331.20Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E29.8×32.0×27.6×$310.8953%
EV/EBITDA18.7×18.6×18.8×$354.4047%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others11.2% cost of equity––$83.16–
Fair value$331.20100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 32.0
  • Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 27.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$174.73M
Value traded per 1% price move
$106.72M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
20.8%
Volatility (annualized)
47%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.87
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.27

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

83.2%−2.2 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

27.6%+5.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

22.1%+5.1 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?