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NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) stock analysis

NMIHNasdaqSurety InsuranceFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 12/3021% below fair value
$39.05+0.32 (+0.83%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.94BP/E 7.7Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth2Performance5Health0Dividend0

Mixed12 of 30 checks passed

NMI passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 13 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 21.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $39.05 is below our fair value estimate of $49.73.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 15.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 17.2% over five years.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 17.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 3.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.8% a year.

  • P/S above the industry

    NMI's price-to-sales of 3.97 is above the Insurance Carriers median of 2.96.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 6.9% over the last twelve months; the Insurance Carriers median is 11.1%.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 53.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 53.9%.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    NMI's P/E of 7.7 is below its own 5-year median of 8.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    NMI's P/E of 7.7 is below the Insurance Carriers median of 11.2.

  • P/S above the industry

    NMI's price-to-sales of 3.97 is above the Insurance Carriers median of 2.96.

  • P/B below the industry

    NMI's price-to-book of 1.09 is below the Insurance Carriers median of 1.57.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $39.05 is below our fair value estimate of $49.73.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 21.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 10.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 13.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 3.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.8% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 6.9% over the last twelve months; the Insurance Carriers median is 11.1%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 15.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 17.2% over five years.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 10.2%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    NMI's return on equity of 15.1% is above the Insurance Carriers median of 14.0%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 17.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 53.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 53.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    NMI's net margin of 53.1% is above the Insurance Carriers median of 10.6%.

Financial health0/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term liquidity

    Insurers do not split assets into current and non-current.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    The Altman model does not apply to insurers.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    NMI has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$49.73

The share price is 21% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$39.05Price$49.73Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E9.6×8.0×11.2×$48.7850%
P/B1.4×1.3×1.6×$50.6850%
Fair value$49.73100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 8.0
  • Insurance Carriers median 11.2

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$37.54M
Value traded per 1% price move
$25.87M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.0%
Volatility (annualized)
28%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.01
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.68

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

55.1%+15.5 pts over 5 years

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