NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.94BP/E 7.7Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed12 of 30 checks passed
NMI passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 13 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 21.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $39.05 is below our fair value estimate of $49.73.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 15.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 17.2% over five years.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 17.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 3.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.8% a year.
P/S above the industry
NMI's price-to-sales of 3.97 is above the Insurance Carriers median of 2.96.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 6.9% over the last twelve months; the Insurance Carriers median is 11.1%.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 53.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 53.9%.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
NMI's P/E of 7.7 is below its own 5-year median of 8.0.
P/E below the industry
NMI's P/E of 7.7 is below the Insurance Carriers median of 11.2.
P/S above the industry
NMI's price-to-sales of 3.97 is above the Insurance Carriers median of 2.96.
P/B below the industry
NMI's price-to-book of 1.09 is below the Insurance Carriers median of 1.57.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $39.05 is below our fair value estimate of $49.73.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 21.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 10.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 13.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 3.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.8% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 6.9% over the last twelve months; the Insurance Carriers median is 11.1%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 15.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 17.2% over five years.
Return on assets over 1%
Return on assets was 10.2%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.
Return on equity above the industry
NMI's return on equity of 15.1% is above the Insurance Carriers median of 14.0%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 17.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 53.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 53.9%.
Net margin above the industry
NMI's net margin of 53.1% is above the Insurance Carriers median of 10.6%.
Financial health0/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term liquidity
Insurers do not split assets into current and non-current.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
The Altman model does not apply to insurers.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
NMI has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$49.73
The share price is 21% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 9.6× | 8.0× | 11.2× | $48.78 | 50% |
| P/B | 1.4× | 1.3× | 1.6× | $50.68 | 50% |
| Fair value | $49.73 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 8.0
- Insurance Carriers median 11.2
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $37.54M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $25.87M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 12.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 28%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.01
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.68
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +8.5% | +10.5% | +10.3% | +29.4% | |
| Net income | +8.0% | +9.9% | +17.8% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +11.1% | +13.2% | +18.2% | – | |
| Free cash flow | +6.7% | +10.9% | +11.4% | +27.9% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 14.6% | 14.9% | 16.2% | |
| Return on assets | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | |
| Capex to revenue | 9.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | |
| Diluted shares | 61M | 79M | 79M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
NMI generated $1.79B from operations and spent $396.77M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 12% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 55.1% | 0.20× | 1.50× | 16.2% |
| FY2024 | 55.3% | 0.21× | 1.52× | 17.4% |
| FY2023 | 55.6% | 0.21× | 1.54× | 18.2% |
| FY2022 | 56.0% | 0.21× | 1.56× | 18.4% |
| FY2021 | 47.6% | 0.21× | 1.57× | 15.7% |
| FY2020 | 39.6% | 0.25× | 1.54× | 14.9% |
| FY2019 | 45.4% | 0.31× | 1.51× | 21.1% |
| FY2018 | 39.2% | 0.28× | 1.64× | 17.8% |
| FY2017 | 12.1% | 0.21× | 1.76× | 4.5% |
| FY2016 | 51.7% | 0.16× | 1.71× | 14.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$388.93M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$419.30M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year12.2% → 11.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$419.30M vs $388.93M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise81M → 79M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.22 → 0.21
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