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Nicolet Bankshares Inc (NIC) stock analysis

NICNYSENational Commercial BanksFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 13/3033% above fair value
$174.86−0.67 (-0.38%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.64BP/E 19.3Yield 0.71%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth3Performance2Health5Dividend3

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Nicolet Bankshares passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Modest borrowings

    Borrowings other than deposits are 0.0% of equity.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 20.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 14.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 21.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.2% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 33.4% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $174.86 is above our fair value estimate of $131.03.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Nicolet Bankshares's P/E of 19.3 is above its own 5-year median of 14.9.

  • P/E above the industry

    Nicolet Bankshares's P/E of 19.3 is above the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.

  • P/S above the industry

    Nicolet Bankshares's price-to-sales of 6.15 is above the Commercial Banks median of 3.60.

  • P/B above the industry

    Nicolet Bankshares's price-to-book of 1.63 is above the Commercial Banks median of 1.29.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $174.86 is above our fair value estimate of $131.03.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 33.4% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 14.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 21.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.2% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 55.3% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.3%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 1.5%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Nicolet Bankshares's return on equity of 10.2% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.5%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 20.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 29.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 30.9%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Nicolet Bankshares's net margin of 29.8% is below the Commercial Banks median of 30.3%.

Financial health5/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 14.8% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Loans equal 85.3% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is 1.3% of loans; we look for at least 1%.

  • High cost base

    Non-interest expense takes 60.6% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits growing

    Deposits grew 65.5% over the past year.

  • Modest borrowings

    Borrowings other than deposits are 0.0% of equity.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Nicolet Bankshares paid dividends worth 0.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Nicolet Bankshares yields 0.8%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 15.3% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 13.8% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$131.03

The share price is 33% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$174.86Price$131.03Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E13.5×14.9×12.1×$121.8150%
P/B1.3×1.3×1.3×$140.2650%
Fair value$131.03100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 14.9
  • Commercial Banks median 12.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$27.52M
Value traded per 1% price move
$30.12M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
10.4%
Volatility (annualized)
28%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.27
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.67

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

38.4%+7.1 pts over 5 years

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