New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $991.15MP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak1 of 30 checks passed
New Fortress Energy passes 1 of the 30 checks behind our score; 20 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
P/S below the industry
New Fortress Energy's price-to-sales of 0.78 is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.68 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
What to watch
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -9.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -14.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -1.4 times; we look for at least 5.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -5.9% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Valuation1/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/S below the industry
New Fortress Energy's price-to-sales of 0.78 is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.68 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -14.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -37.3% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 13.6%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 35.4% over the last twelve months, against 44.3% a year earlier.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -9.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.
Financial health0/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -5.9% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -1.4 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.16 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is -1.30; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
New Fortress Energy has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for New Fortress Energy. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- EV/EBITDA at month end
- Gas Production and Distribution median 12.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $2.14M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $261.07K
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 66.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 110%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.90
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.35
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2016 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -36.2% | -14.0% | +27.2% | – | |
| Gross profit | -54.7% | -24.5% | +27.6% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | -80.6% | – | |
| Return on assets | – | -12.0% | – | |
| Current ratio | – | 3.99 | 0.15 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 3.38 | 45.18 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | -5.00× | -9.14× | |
| Interest coverage | – | -2.4× | -1.4× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | 6.5× | 8.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 34.8% | 43.3% | |
| Diluted shares | – | 107M | 278M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
New Fortress Energy generated $2.44B from operations and spent $8.53B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 88% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | 22.9% | 0.26× | 6.22× | 37.4% |
| FY2022 | 8.2% | 0.32× | 4.73× | 12.6% |
| FY2021 | 7.3% | 0.30× | 4.07× | 9.0% |
| FY2020 | -40.3% | 0.30× | 6.71× | -80.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero–
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero-$583.38M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income-$583.38M vs –
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell64.7% → 10.5%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.92 → 0.15
- No dilutionShare count did not rise219M → 278M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year54.85% → 38.92%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.22 → 0.12
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