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Excelerate Energy, Inc. (EE) stock analysis

EENYSENatural Gas DistributionFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 6/3017% above fair value
$38.02+0.48 (+1.28%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $4.31BP/E 26.0Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth3Performance0Health2Dividend1

Weak6 of 30 checks passed

Excelerate Energy passes 6 of the 30 checks behind our score; 14 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 35.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 38.9% of total debt.

  • Guidance raised

    Excelerate Energy raised its full year Adjusted EBITDA outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 16.2% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 13.6%.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 17.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $38.02 is above our fair value estimate of $32.47.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -20.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.11; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation0/6

  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Excelerate Energy's P/E of 26.0 is above its own 5-year median of 22.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    Excelerate Energy's P/E of 26.0 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 17.3.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Excelerate Energy's EV/EBITDA of 14.2 is above its 5-year median of 7.5.

  • P/S above the industry

    Excelerate Energy's price-to-sales of 3.13 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.68 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $38.02 is above our fair value estimate of $32.47.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 17.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -20.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 35.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 16.2% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 13.6%.

  • Guidance raised

    Excelerate Energy raised its full year Adjusted EBITDA outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6

  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin against the industry

    Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health2/6

  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 38.9% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.95 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.11; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6

  • Pays a dividend

    Excelerate Energy paid dividends worth 0.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Excelerate Energy yields 0.9%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

Our estimate per share

$32.47

The share price is 17% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$38.02Price$32.47Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E19.2×22.3×17.3×$28.0044%
EV/EBITDA10.5×7.5×12.3×$37.1339%
Earnings power8.2% cost of equity––$33.5417%
Fair value$32.47100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 22.3
  • Gas Production and Distribution median 17.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$13.46M
Value traded per 1% price move
$7.30M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
19.4%
Volatility (annualized)
37%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.86
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.67

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025

Operating margin

21.7%−9.2 pts over 5 years

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