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NextEra Energy Inc (NEE) stock analysis

NEENYSEElectric ServicesFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as NEE.PN, NEE.PS, NEE.PT, NEE.PU, NEE.PV, NEE.PW
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 21, 2026Score 13/308% below fair value
$85.99−0.28 (-0.32%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $180.35BP/E 15.5Yield 2.64%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth3Performance4Health0Dividend3

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

NextEra Energy passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $85.99 is below our fair value estimate of $93.16.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 18.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 16.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 79.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.5% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 7.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 20.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.4%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 178% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    NextEra Energy's P/E of 15.5 is below its own 5-year median of 25.9.

  • P/E below the industry

    NextEra Energy's P/E of 15.5 is below the Electric Services median of 20.9.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    NextEra Energy's EV/EBITDA of 19.7 is above its 5-year median of 18.7.

  • P/B above the industry

    NextEra Energy's price-to-book of 2.93 is above the Electric Services median of 2.02.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $85.99 is below our fair value estimate of $93.16.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 7.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 16.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 79.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.5% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 7.6% over the last twelve months; the Electric Services median is 7.8%.

  • Guidance raised

    NextEra Energy raised its 2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook on Apr 23, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 20.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.4%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    NextEra Energy's return on equity of 20.1% is above the Electric Services median of 8.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 18.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 43.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    NextEra Energy's net margin of 43.1% is above the Electric Services median of 8.8%.

Financial health0/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 178% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 130% five years ago to 178%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 13.5% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.53 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.02; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    NextEra Energy paid dividends worth 2.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; NextEra Energy yields 2.8%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 43.7% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$93.16

The share price is 8% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$85.99Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E23.4×25.9×20.9×$130.1240%
EV/EBITDA15.5×18.7×12.2×$61.6335%
P/B2.7×3.3×2.0×$77.9610%
Earnings power7.5% cost of equity––$78.3315%
Fair value$93.16100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 25.9
  • Electric Services median 20.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$1.07B
Value traded per 1% price move
$1.04B

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
10.8%
Volatility (annualized)
21%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.14
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.53

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

32.1%+2.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

26.5%+9.3 pts over 5 years

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