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Constellation Energy Corp (CEG) stock analysis

CEGNasdaqElectric ServicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 9, 2026Score 10/3011% above fair value
$280.20−2.20 (-0.78%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $99.28BP/E 27.3Yield 0.14%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth1Performance4Health2Dividend2

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Constellation Energy passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 31.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 5.9 times.

  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Constellation Energy's P/E of 27.3 is below its own 5-year median of 31.3.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 15.9% of net income.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 11.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $280.20 is above our fair value estimate of $252.41.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 15.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 8.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Constellation Energy's P/E of 27.3 is below its own 5-year median of 31.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    Constellation Energy's P/E of 27.3 is above the Electric Services median of 21.0.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Constellation Energy's EV/EBITDA of 15.0 is above its 5-year median of 14.4.

  • P/B above the industry

    Constellation Energy's price-to-book of 3.10 is above the Electric Services median of 2.01.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $280.20 is above our fair value estimate of $252.41.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 11.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 15.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 31.5% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 26.0% over the last twelve months; the Electric Services median is 7.8%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (full-year Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings, Nov 9, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 15.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 8.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Constellation Energy's return on equity of 15.3% is above the Electric Services median of 8.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 31.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 11.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Constellation Energy's net margin of 11.1% is above the Electric Services median of 8.8%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 77.2% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 17.0% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 5.9 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.46 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.56; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Constellation Energy paid dividends worth 0.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.6% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Constellation Energy yields 0.6%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 15.9% of net income.

  • Not covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 178% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$252.41

The share price is 11% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$280.20Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E25.7×31.3×21.0×$263.6647%
EV/EBITDA13.2×14.4×12.2×$241.1041%
P/B2.7×3.6×2.0×$247.0112%
Fair value$252.41100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 31.3
  • Electric Services median 21.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$1.17B
Value traded per 1% price move
$414.13M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
22.6%
Volatility (annualized)
50%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.51
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.23

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025

Operating margin

12.1%+10.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

9.1%+5.7 pts over 5 years

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