MSCI Inc. (MSCI) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $46.58BP/E 34.5Yield 1.11%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid18 of 30 checks passed
MSCI passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 5/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 49.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 14.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 11.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 13.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 10.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $661.53 is above our fair value estimate of $597.45.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 13.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.8% a year.
P/E above the industry
MSCI's P/E of 35.0 is above the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 25.8.
Valuation2/6
P/E below its 5-year median
MSCI's P/E of 35.0 is below its own 5-year median of 40.0.
P/E above the industry
MSCI's P/E of 35.0 is above the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 25.8.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
MSCI's EV/EBITDA of 27.8 is below its 5-year median of 32.9.
P/S above the industry
MSCI's price-to-sales of 13.78 is above the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 1.67 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading above fair value
The share price of $661.53 is above our fair value estimate of $597.45.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 10.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth5/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 11.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 13.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 13.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.8% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 12.3% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Business Services median is 9.9%.
Guidance raised
MSCI raised its Full-Year 2026 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities outlook on Oct 20, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 82.9% over the last twelve months, against 82.4% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 49.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 14.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 40.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 39.4%.
Net margin above the industry
MSCI's net margin of 40.3% is above the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 3.8%.
Financial health3/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.0% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 6.9 times.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.82 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 6.50; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
MSCI paid dividends worth 1.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; MSCI yields 1.2%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 42.1% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 37.0% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$597.45
The share price is 11% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 32.9× | 40.0× | 25.8× | $622.21 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 24.4× | 32.9× | 15.7× | $569.15 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 10.7% cost of equity | – | – | $185.84 | – |
| Fair value | $597.45 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 40.0
- Miscellaneous Business Services median 25.8
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $373.26M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $251.80M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 11.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 30%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.35
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.16
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +9.7% | +11.7% | +13.1% | +11.3% | |
| Gross profit | +10.3% | +11.9% | +13.0% | +12.3% | |
| Operating income | +12.1% | +12.4% | +14.1% | +15.5% | |
| Net income | +8.4% | +11.4% | +14.8% | +18.3% | |
| EPS, diluted | +11.7% | +13.5% | +17.1% | +22.7% | |
| Free cash flow | +5.5% | +12.7% | +14.4% | +18.6% | |
| Dividend per share | +12.5% | +16.3% | +19.8% | +24.6% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 42.8% | -231.5% | -66.9% | |
| Return on assets | 8.4% | 14.3% | 21.6% | |
| Current ratio | 1.97 | 1.88 | 0.90 | |
| Debt to equity | 6.53 | -7.60 | -2.34 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.46× | 2.26× | 3.27× | |
| Interest coverage | 4.8× | 5.7× | 8.2× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 97M | 85M | 77M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
MSCI generated $6.36B from operations and spent $7.77B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 2% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 38.4% | 0.56× | -3.10× | -66.9% |
| FY2024 | 38.8% | 0.52× | -6.53× | -132.1% |
| FY2023 | 45.4% | 0.48× | -6.02× | -131.4% |
| FY2022 | 38.7% | 0.43× | -8.97× | -148.6% |
| FY2021 | 35.5% | 0.42× | -16.00× | -239.3% |
| FY2020 | 35.5% | 0.40× | -16.16× | -231.5% |
| FY2019 | 36.2% | 0.41× | -31.22× | -463.5% |
| FY2018 | 35.4% | 0.43× | 28.41× | 433.1% |
| FY2017 | 23.9% | 0.40× | 8.85× | 84.6% |
| FY2016 | 22.7% | 0.37× | 5.11× | 42.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.20B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.59B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year20.1% → 22.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.59B vs $1.20B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell82.8% → 108.8%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.85 → 0.90
- No dilutionShare count did not rise79M → 77M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year81.99% → 82.44%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.52 → 0.58
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