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MSCI Inc. (MSCI) stock analysis

MSCINYSEServices-Business Services, NECFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 20, 2026Score 18/3011% above fair value
$651.51−10.02 (-1.51%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $46.58BP/E 34.5Yield 1.11%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth5Performance4Health3Dividend4

Solid18 of 30 checks passed

MSCI passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 49.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 14.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 11.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 13.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 10.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $661.53 is above our fair value estimate of $597.45.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 13.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.8% a year.

  • P/E above the industry

    MSCI's P/E of 35.0 is above the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 25.8.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    MSCI's P/E of 35.0 is below its own 5-year median of 40.0.

  • P/E above the industry

    MSCI's P/E of 35.0 is above the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 25.8.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    MSCI's EV/EBITDA of 27.8 is below its 5-year median of 32.9.

  • P/S above the industry

    MSCI's price-to-sales of 13.78 is above the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 1.67 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $661.53 is above our fair value estimate of $597.45.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 10.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 11.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 13.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 13.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.8% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 12.3% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Business Services median is 9.9%.

  • Guidance raised

    MSCI raised its Full-Year 2026 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities outlook on Oct 20, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 82.9% over the last twelve months, against 82.4% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 49.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 14.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 40.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 39.4%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    MSCI's net margin of 40.3% is above the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 3.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.0% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 6.9 times.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.82 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 6.50; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    MSCI paid dividends worth 1.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; MSCI yields 1.2%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 42.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 37.0% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$597.45

The share price is 11% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$661.53Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E32.9×40.0×25.8×$622.2153%
EV/EBITDA24.4×32.9×15.7×$569.1547%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others10.7% cost of equity––$185.84–
Fair value$597.45100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 40.0
  • Miscellaneous Business Services median 25.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$373.26M
Value traded per 1% price move
$251.80M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.8%
Volatility (annualized)
30%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.35
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.16

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2025

Gross margin

82.4%−0.4 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

54.7%+2.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

38.4%+2.9 pts over 5 years

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