Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $980.76MP/E 66.7Yield 2.00%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak8 of 30 checks passed
Marten Transport passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
No debt
Marten Transport has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 5.21; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 45.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $12.01 is above our fair value estimate of $8.27.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 1.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 1.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation1/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Marten Transport's P/E of 66.7 is above its own 5-year median of 23.3.
P/E above the industry
Marten Transport's P/E of 66.7 is above the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 34.1.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Marten Transport's EV/EBITDA of 55.0 is above its 5-year median of 17.4.
P/B below the industry
Marten Transport's price-to-book of 1.28 is below the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 1.83.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $12.01 is above our fair value estimate of $8.27.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 45.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -11.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -46.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -31.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -24.2% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -4.8% over the last twelve months; the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median is 7.6%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 1.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 1.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Marten Transport's return on equity of 1.7% is below the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 3.4%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 24.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 1.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.7%.
Net margin below the industry
Marten Transport's net margin of 1.5% is below the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 2.1%.
Financial health6/6
No debt
Marten Transport has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.21 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 5.21; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
Marten Transport paid dividends worth 2.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Marten Transport yields 2.0%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Not covered by earnings
Dividends take 147% of net income, leaving little room.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$8.27
The share price is 45% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 28.7× | 23.3× | 34.1× | $5.16 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.4× | 17.4× | 13.4× | $4.17 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.9× | 1.9× | 1.8× | $17.53 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.0% cost of equity | – | – | $20.00 | 15% |
| Fair value | $8.27 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 23.3
- Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median 34.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $9.56M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $6.53M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 15.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 32%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.54
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.63
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -8.3% | -11.2% | +0.2% | +2.9% | |
| Operating income | -31.0% | -45.7% | -24.5% | -9.3% | |
| Net income | -35.2% | -45.9% | -24.2% | -6.9% | |
| EPS, diluted | -36.4% | -46.2% | -24.2% | -6.8% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | 0.0% | -17.6% | +19.6% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 11.4% | 2.3% | |
| Return on assets | 5.2% | 8.5% | 1.8% | |
| Current ratio | 1.54 | 1.96 | 1.86 | |
| Diluted shares | 82M | 83M | 82M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Marten Transport does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2.0% | 0.92× | 1.25× | 2.3% |
| FY2024 | 2.8% | 0.98× | 1.28× | 3.5% |
| FY2023 | 6.2% | 1.16× | 1.34× | 9.6% |
| FY2022 | 8.7% | 1.38× | 1.35× | 16.3% |
| FY2021 | 8.8% | 1.14× | 1.34× | 13.4% |
| FY2020 | 7.9% | 1.07× | 1.34× | 11.4% |
| FY2019 | 7.2% | 1.09× | 1.32× | 10.4% |
| FY2018 | 7.0% | 1.09× | 1.31× | 10.0% |
| FY2017 | 12.9% | 1.04× | 1.40× | 18.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$17.44M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$93.49M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.7% → 1.8%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$93.49M vs $17.44M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.48 → 1.86
- No dilutionShare count did not rise81M → 82M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.97 → 0.91
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