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Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) stock analysis

MRTNNasdaqTrucking (No Local)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 8/3045% above fair value
$12.01+0.00 (0.00%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $980.76MP/E 66.7Yield 2.00%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth0Performance0Health6Dividend1

Weak8 of 30 checks passed

Marten Transport passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • No debt

    Marten Transport has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.21; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 45.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $12.01 is above our fair value estimate of $8.27.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 1.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 1.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Marten Transport's P/E of 66.7 is above its own 5-year median of 23.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    Marten Transport's P/E of 66.7 is above the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 34.1.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Marten Transport's EV/EBITDA of 55.0 is above its 5-year median of 17.4.

  • P/B below the industry

    Marten Transport's price-to-book of 1.28 is below the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 1.83.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $12.01 is above our fair value estimate of $8.27.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 45.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -11.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -46.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -31.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -24.2% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -4.8% over the last twelve months; the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median is 7.6%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 1.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 1.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Marten Transport's return on equity of 1.7% is below the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 3.4%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 24.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 1.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.7%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Marten Transport's net margin of 1.5% is below the Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median of 2.1%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    Marten Transport has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.21 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.21; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Marten Transport paid dividends worth 2.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Marten Transport yields 2.0%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 147% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$8.27

The share price is 45% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$12.01Price$8.27Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E28.7×23.3×34.1×$5.1640%
EV/EBITDA15.4×17.4×13.4×$4.1735%
P/B1.9×1.9×1.8×$17.5310%
Earnings power8.0% cost of equity––$20.0015%
Fair value$8.27100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 23.3
  • Trucking and Courier Services, except Air median 34.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$9.56M
Value traded per 1% price move
$6.53M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.1%
Volatility (annualized)
32%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.54
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.63

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

2.6%−8.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

2.0%−6.0 pts over 5 years

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