MINISO Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $3.47BP/E 19.1Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Mixed9 of 30 checks passed
Miniso passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 17 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 19.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 33.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 7.7 times.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 36.0% of total debt.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged -0.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 67.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Return on equity below the industry
Miniso's return on equity of 11.3% is below the Variety Stores median of 24.9%.
No dividend
Miniso has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B against the industry
Needs positive book value.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 33.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 86.9% over the last twelve months; the Variety Stores median is 9.6%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 45.0% over the last twelve months, against 38.7% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged -0.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 19.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Miniso's return on equity of 11.3% is below the Variety Stores median of 24.9%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 5.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.8%.
Net margin above the industry
Miniso's net margin of 5.6% is above the Variety Stores median of 4.0%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 67.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 36.0% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 7.7 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.66 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Miniso has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for Miniso. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $12.64M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $5.60M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 23.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 37%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -1.43
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.59
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | – | +28.6% | +19.0% | – | |
| Gross profit | – | +46.5% | +28.7% | – | |
| Operating income | – | +55.3% | +33.9% | – | |
| Net income | – | +23.6% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | – | +23.5% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
6 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2019 | FY2019 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | – | |
| Return on assets | – | – | – | |
| Current ratio | – | – | 1.66 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | 0.67 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | 0.08× | |
| Interest coverage | 40.3× | 40.3× | 7.7× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | – | |
| Diluted shares | – | – | 1.23B |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Miniso does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | 15.4% | 0.93× | 1.55× | 22.2% |
| FY2022 | 6.3% | 0.92× | 1.61× | 9.3% |
| FY2021 | -15.6% | 1.10× | 2.62× | -44.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zeroCN¥1.21B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zeroCN¥2.58B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net incomeCN¥2.58B vs CN¥1.21B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → 18.9%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → 1.66
- No dilutionShare count did not rise– → 1.23B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → 44.99%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose– → –
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