McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.14BP/E 19.8Yield 1.51%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
McGrath RentCorp passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 14.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 8.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 10.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 2.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $128.79 is above our fair value estimate of $126.06.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 12.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.76; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Valuation1/6
P/E above its 5-year median
McGrath RentCorp's P/E of 19.8 is above its own 5-year median of 18.3.
P/E above the industry
McGrath RentCorp's P/E of 19.8 is above the Miscellaneous Equipment Rental and Leasing median of 19.8.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
McGrath RentCorp's EV/EBITDA of 8.8 is above its 5-year median of 8.4.
P/B below the industry
McGrath RentCorp's price-to-book of 2.46 is below the Miscellaneous Equipment Rental and Leasing median of 2.93.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $128.79 is above our fair value estimate of $126.06.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 2.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 10.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 9.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.9% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 2.1% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Equipment Rental and Leasing median is 9.4%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (remainder of 2026 Total revenue, Oct 28, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 48.8% over the last twelve months, against 47.4% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 12.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 14.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
McGrath RentCorp's return on equity of 12.9% is below the Miscellaneous Equipment Rental and Leasing median of 12.9%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 8.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 16.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.6%.
Net margin above the industry
McGrath RentCorp's net margin of 16.8% is above the Miscellaneous Equipment Rental and Leasing median of 5.4%.
Financial health1/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 8.7 times.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.76; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
McGrath RentCorp paid dividends worth 1.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; McGrath RentCorp yields 1.5%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 30.6% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 23.2% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$126.06
The share price is 2% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.0× | 18.3× | 19.8× | $123.59 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.0× | 8.4× | 9.5× | $131.67 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.8× | 2.7× | 2.9× | $147.36 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.7% cost of equity | – | – | $105.38 | 15% |
| Fair value | $126.06 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 18.3
- Miscellaneous Equipment Rental and Leasing median 19.8
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $51.28M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $18.55M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 10.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 28%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.70
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.57
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +3.7% | +14.1% | +10.5% | +8.8% | |
| Gross profit | +4.5% | +16.2% | +11.5% | +9.9% | |
| Operating income | -0.3% | +18.3% | +11.6% | +12.2% | |
| Net income | -32.5% | +10.7% | +8.9% | +14.5% | |
| EPS, diluted | -32.7% | +10.5% | +8.8% | +14.9% | |
| Free cash flow | -36.8% | +6.1% | +4.8% | +4.6% | |
| Dividend per share | +2.1% | +2.2% | +2.9% | +6.9% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 9.9% | 15.5% | 13.2% | |
| Return on assets | 3.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | |
| Interest coverage | 6.5× | 16.0× | 8.0× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | 43.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 24M | 25M | 25M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
McGrath RentCorp generated $1.12B from operations and spent $375.56M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 40% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 16.6% | 0.41× | 1.96× | 13.2% |
| FY2024 | 25.4% | 0.41× | 2.18× | 22.5% |
| FY2023 | 21.0% | 0.42× | 2.26× | 20.1% |
| FY2022 | 18.1% | 0.38× | 2.15× | 15.0% |
| FY2021 | 16.8% | 0.37× | 2.03× | 12.7% |
| FY2020 | 17.8% | 0.44× | 1.96× | 15.5% |
| FY2019 | 17.0% | 0.45× | 2.10× | 16.1% |
| FY2018 | 15.9% | 0.42× | 2.16× | 14.5% |
| FY2017 | 33.3% | 0.41× | 2.48× | 33.5% |
| FY2016 | 9.0% | 0.37× | 2.95× | 9.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$156.31M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$255.68M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year10.5% → 6.9%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$255.68M vs $156.31M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise25M → 25M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year47.80% → 48.18%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.41 → 0.41
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