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MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) stock analysis

MTSINasdaqSemiconductors & Related DevicesFiscal year ends October 3
Financials through Q4 FY2026, quarter ended Oct 2, 2026Last filing: 10-K on Nov 12, 2026Score 17/3047% above fair value
$245.76−4.10 (-1.64%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $18.77BP/E 57.0Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth4Performance6Health5Dividend0

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

MACOM Technology Solutions passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 22.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 20.5% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 23.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 20.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 54.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 46.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $245.76 is above our fair value estimate of $167.28.

  • P/E above the industry

    MACOM Technology Solutions's P/E of 57.0 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 35.0.

  • P/B above the industry

    MACOM Technology Solutions's price-to-book of 11.06 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.36.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    MACOM Technology Solutions's P/E of 57.0 is below its own 5-year median of 73.7.

  • P/E above the industry

    MACOM Technology Solutions's P/E of 57.0 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 35.0.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    MACOM Technology Solutions's EV/EBITDA of 49.8 is below its 5-year median of 56.0.

  • P/B above the industry

    MACOM Technology Solutions's price-to-book of 11.06 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.36.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $245.76 is above our fair value estimate of $167.28.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 46.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 27.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 49.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 37.3% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.6%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (fiscal first quarter adjusted earnings per diluted share, Nov 5, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 58.0% over the last twelve months, against 54.7% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 22.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 20.5% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 23.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    MACOM Technology Solutions's return on equity of 22.2% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 5.0%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 54.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 25.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    MACOM Technology Solutions's net margin of 25.3% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.0%.

Financial health5/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 20.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 104% five years ago to 20.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 105% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.53 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 19.46; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    MACOM Technology Solutions has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$167.28

The share price is 47% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$245.76Price$167.28Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E45.0×73.7×35.0×$193.9547%
EV/EBITDA30.0×56.0×21.1×$150.5041%
P/B5.4×7.4×3.4×$119.3112%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others12.6% cost of equity––$21.77–
Fair value$167.28100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 73.7
  • Electronic Components and Accessories median 35.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$491.15M
Value traded per 1% price move
$112.33M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
33.3%
Volatility (annualized)
69%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.58
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.52

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

58.0%+1.7 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

23.0%+9.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

25.3%+19.0 pts over 5 years

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