MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $18.77BP/E 57.0Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works
Solid17 of 30 checks passed
MACOM Technology Solutions passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 22.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 20.5% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 23.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 20.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 54.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 46.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $245.76 is above our fair value estimate of $167.28.
P/E above the industry
MACOM Technology Solutions's P/E of 57.0 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 35.0.
P/B above the industry
MACOM Technology Solutions's price-to-book of 11.06 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.36.
Valuation2/6
P/E below its 5-year median
MACOM Technology Solutions's P/E of 57.0 is below its own 5-year median of 73.7.
P/E above the industry
MACOM Technology Solutions's P/E of 57.0 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 35.0.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
MACOM Technology Solutions's EV/EBITDA of 49.8 is below its 5-year median of 56.0.
P/B above the industry
MACOM Technology Solutions's price-to-book of 11.06 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.36.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $245.76 is above our fair value estimate of $167.28.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 46.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 27.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 49.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 37.3% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.6%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (fiscal first quarter adjusted earnings per diluted share, Nov 5, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 58.0% over the last twelve months, against 54.7% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 22.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 20.5% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 23.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
MACOM Technology Solutions's return on equity of 22.2% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 5.0%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 54.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 25.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.9%.
Net margin above the industry
MACOM Technology Solutions's net margin of 25.3% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.0%.
Financial health5/6
Low debt
Debt is 20.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 104% five years ago to 20.1%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 105% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.53 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 19.46; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
MACOM Technology Solutions has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$167.28
The share price is 47% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 45.0× | 73.7× | 35.0× | $193.95 | 47% |
| EV/EBITDA | 30.0× | 56.0× | 21.1× | $150.50 | 41% |
| P/B | 5.4× | 7.4× | 3.4× | $119.31 | 12% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 12.6% cost of equity | – | – | $21.77 | – |
| Fair value | $167.28 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 73.7
- Electronic Components and Accessories median 35.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $491.15M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $112.33M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 33.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 69%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.58
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.52
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +37.3% | +27.0% | +16.9% | +9.3% | |
| Gross profit | +45.6% | +25.9% | +17.6% | +10.6% | |
| Operating income | +135.6% | +41.7% | +30.4% | +36.9% | |
| Net income | – | +54.1% | +54.6% | +72.5% | |
| EPS, diluted | – | +49.9% | +51.5% | +64.3% | |
| Free cash flow | +51.8% | +27.2% | +17.5% | +19.8% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -27.3% | 9.8% | 22.2% | |
| Return on assets | -12.0% | 3.3% | 15.1% | |
| Current ratio | 4.81 | 5.61 | 2.53 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.86 | 1.04 | 0.20 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 7.00× | 2.22× | 0.62× | |
| Interest coverage | -0.6× | 3.7× | 48.3× | |
| Inventory turnover | 3.0× | 3.0× | 2.1× | |
| Capex to revenue | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 61M | 70M | 78M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
MACOM Technology Solutions generated $1.10B from operations and spent $363.54M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 50% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 25.3% | 0.60× | 1.46× | 22.2% |
| FY2025 | -5.6% | 0.50× | 1.57× | -4.4% |
| FY2024 | 10.5% | 0.44× | 1.60× | 7.4% |
| FY2023 | 14.1% | 0.41× | 1.75× | 10.2% |
| FY2022 | 65.2% | 0.50× | 2.06× | 66.9% |
| FY2021 | 6.3% | 0.53× | 2.95× | 9.8% |
| FY2020 | -8.7% | 0.47× | 3.67× | -15.0% |
| FY2019 | -76.8% | 0.39× | 2.63× | -78.1% |
| FY2018 | -24.5% | 0.37× | 2.16× | -19.4% |
| FY2017 | -24.3% | 0.49× | 2.28× | -27.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$335.25M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$357.09M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-3.1% → 15.9%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$357.09M vs $335.25M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell16.1% → 0.0%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose3.71 → 2.53
- No dilutionShare count did not rise74M → 78M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year54.69% → 58.03%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.55 → 0.63
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