StockData
Mechanics Bancorp logo

Mechanics Bancorp (MCHB) stock analysis

MCHBNasdaqState Commercial BanksFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 15/3054% below fair value
$14.38−0.18 (-1.24%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $3.18BP/E 12.3Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth1Performance4Health3Dividend3

Solid15 of 30 checks passed

Mechanics Bancorp passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 53.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $14.56 is below our fair value estimate of $31.35.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 27.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 57.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -44.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 25.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 27.1% a year.

  • P/E above the industry

    Mechanics Bancorp's P/E of 12.4 is above the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Mechanics Bancorp's P/E of 12.4 is below its own 5-year median of 66.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    Mechanics Bancorp's P/E of 12.4 is above the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.

  • P/S above the industry

    Mechanics Bancorp's price-to-sales of 64.08 is above the Commercial Banks median of 3.60.

  • P/B below the industry

    Mechanics Bancorp's price-to-book of 1.26 is below the Commercial Banks median of 1.29.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $14.56 is below our fair value estimate of $31.35.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 53.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -44.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 57.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 25.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 27.1% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -0.7% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.3%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 1.2%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Mechanics Bancorp's return on equity of 9.7% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.5%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 27.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 515% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 128%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Mechanics Bancorp's net margin of 515% is above the Commercial Banks median of 30.3%.

Financial health3/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 12.3% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Loans equal 71.5% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is 1.0% of loans; we look for at least 1%.

  • High cost base

    Non-interest expense takes 60.5% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits shrinking

    Deposits fell 7.4% over the past year.

  • Borrowings

    Needs debt and equity figures.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Mechanics Bancorp paid dividends worth 10.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 10.7% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Mechanics Bancorp yields 10.7%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 5 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 139% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Not covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 185% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$31.35

The share price is 54% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$14.56Price$31.35Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E39.4×66.3×12.1×$46.1250%
P/B1.4×1.6×1.3×$16.5950%
Fair value$31.35100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 66.3
  • Commercial Banks median 12.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$8.48M
Value traded per 1% price move
$7.79M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
9.3%
Volatility (annualized)
29%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.14
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.94

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

534.4%+512.0 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?