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Lowes Companies Inc (LOW) stock analysis

LOWNYSERetail-Lumber & Other Building Materials DealersFiscal year ends January 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 27, 2026Score 11/3015% above fair value
$231.60−0.27 (-0.12%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $129.94BP/E 19.6Yield 2.05%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth1Performance3Health3Dividend4

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Lowes Companies passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 34.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 2.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.7% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.30; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 15.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $231.60 is above our fair value estimate of $201.08.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -3.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 5.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Lowes Companies's P/E of 19.6 is above its own 5-year median of 19.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    Lowes Companies's P/E of 19.6 is above the Consumer discretionary median of 19.6.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Lowes Companies's EV/EBITDA of 13.0 is above its 5-year median of 13.0.

  • P/S above the industry

    Lowes Companies's price-to-sales of 1.44 is above the Consumer discretionary median of 1.16 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $231.60 is above our fair value estimate of $201.08.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 15.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -3.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 5.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -3.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.7% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 8.2% over the last twelve months; the Consumer discretionary median is 2.5%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Lowes Companies lowered its Fiscal Year 2026 Total sales outlook on Aug 19, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 33.1% over the last twelve months, against 33.5% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 34.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 2.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 7.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.1%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Lowes Companies's net margin of 7.3% is above the Consumer discretionary median of 6.2%.

Financial health3/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.7% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.10 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.30; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Lowes Companies paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Lowes Companies yields 1.6%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 40.5% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 38.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$201.08

The share price is 15% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$231.60Price$201.08Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E19.4×19.3×19.6×$229.9844%
EV/EBITDA11.4×13.0×9.8×$195.6139%
Earnings power9.4% cost of equity––$136.7617%
Fair value$201.08100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 19.3
  • Consumer discretionary median 19.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$672.02M
Value traded per 1% price move
$476.05M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
16.1%
Volatility (annualized)
30%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.17
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.90

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

33.5%+0.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

11.8%+1.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

7.7%+1.2 pts over 5 years

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