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Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) stock analysis

LMTNYSEGuided Missiles & Space Vehicles & PartsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 27, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 22, 2026Score 16/3010% above fair value
$610.05+6.93 (+1.15%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $140.92BP/E 21.7Yield 2.19%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth3Performance4Health4Dividend4

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

Lockheed Martin passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 80.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 75.0% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 32.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 55.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -6.0% a year.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 8.6 times.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 10.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $610.05 is above our fair value estimate of $553.03.

  • High debt

    Debt is 204% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 6.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Lockheed Martin's P/E of 21.7 is above its own 5-year median of 20.4.

  • P/E above the industry

    Lockheed Martin's P/E of 21.7 is above the Transportation Equipment median of 20.3.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Lockheed Martin's EV/EBITDA of 14.1 is below its 5-year median of 15.6.

  • P/B above the industry

    Lockheed Martin's price-to-book of 14.00 is above the Transportation Equipment median of 1.86.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $610.05 is above our fair value estimate of $553.03.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 10.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -0.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 55.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -6.0% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 7.9% over the last twelve months; the Transportation Equipment median is 43.8%.

  • Guidance raised

    Lockheed Martin raised its 2026 Sales outlook on Jul 23, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 11.7% over the last twelve months, against 8.2% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 80.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 75.0% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 32.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Lockheed Martin's return on equity of 80.2% is above the Transportation Equipment median of 2.7%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 6.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 8.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Lockheed Martin's net margin of 8.2% is above the Transportation Equipment median of -65.7%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 204% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 202% five years ago to 204%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 49.3% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 8.6 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.26 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.74; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Lockheed Martin paid dividends worth 2.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Lockheed Martin yields 2.3%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 49.2% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 38.3% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$553.03

The share price is 10% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$610.05Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E20.3×20.4×20.3×$572.3044%
EV/EBITDA14.1×15.6×12.7×$610.3839%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$367.8017%
Fair value$553.03100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 20.4
  • Transportation Equipment median 20.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$859.52M
Value traded per 1% price move
$495.33M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
17.5%
Volatility (annualized)
31%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.98
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.35

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

10.2%−3.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

10.3%−2.9 pts over 5 years

Net margin

6.7%−3.8 pts over 5 years

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