Lear Corp (LEA) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $5.24BP/E 9.5Yield 0.71%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Strong22 of 30 checks passed
Lear passes 22 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 6/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 37.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $108.71 is below our fair value estimate of $173.15.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 22.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 54.9% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.75; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Valuation6/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Lear's P/E of 9.5 is below its own 5-year median of 14.5.
P/E below the industry
Lear's P/E of 9.5 is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 17.4.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Lear's EV/EBITDA of 4.9 is below its 5-year median of 6.5.
P/B below the industry
Lear's price-to-book of 1.05 is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.57.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $108.71 is below our fair value estimate of $173.15.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 37.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 14.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 32.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 22.5% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 3.5% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.
Guidance raised
Lear raised its Full Year 2026 Net Sales outlook on Jul 31, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 6.9% over the last twelve months, against 6.7% a year earlier.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Lear's return on equity of 11.6% is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 3.5%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 22.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 2.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.0%.
Net margin above the industry
Lear's net margin of 2.5% is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.9%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 54.9% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 51.8% five years ago to 54.9%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 49.7% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 9.1 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.18 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.75; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Lear paid dividends worth 2.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.8% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Lear yields 2.8%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 8 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 27.1% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 22.6% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$173.15
The share price is 37% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 15.9× | 14.5× | 17.4× | $182.42 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.3× | 6.5× | 8.2× | $187.58 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.5× | 1.5× | 1.6× | $160.32 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 9.7% cost of equity | – | – | $123.30 | 15% |
| Fair value | $173.15 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 14.5
- Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 17.4
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $63.01M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $49.43M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 15.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 35%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.16
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.92
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -0.2% | +3.6% | +6.4% | +2.5% | |
| Gross profit | -8.2% | +2.2% | +6.3% | -1.9% | |
| Operating income | -12.4% | +5.9% | +11.3% | -4.1% | |
| Net income | -13.8% | +10.1% | +22.5% | -5.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | -9.1% | +14.2% | +25.5% | -1.6% | |
| Free cash flow | -6.1% | +11.2% | +20.1% | -3.9% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | 0.0% | – | +11.9% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 32.6% | 3.6% | 9.2% | |
| Return on assets | 10.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | |
| Current ratio | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.35 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.64 | 0.52 | 0.54 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 0.36× | 1.01× | 1.24× | |
| Interest coverage | 17.7× | 4.6× | 7.7× | |
| Inventory turnover | 16.7× | 12.0× | 13.2× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | |
| Diluted shares | 73M | 60M | 54M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Lear generated $5.15B from operations and spent $5.02B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 59% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 1.9% | 1.61× | 3.04× | 9.2% |
| FY2024 | 2.2% | 1.62× | 3.07× | 10.8% |
| FY2023 | 2.4% | 1.65× | 2.97× | 11.9% |
| FY2022 | 1.6% | 1.54× | 2.91× | 7.0% |
| FY2021 | 1.9% | 1.45× | 2.91× | 8.2% |
| FY2020 | 0.9% | 1.32× | 2.94× | 3.6% |
| FY2019 | 3.8% | 1.63× | 2.84× | 17.6% |
| FY2018 | 5.4% | 1.80× | 2.82× | 27.5% |
| FY2017 | 6.4% | 1.87× | 3.03× | 36.4% |
| FY2016 | 5.3% | 1.92× | 3.23× | 32.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$436.80M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.09B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.4% → 3.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.09B vs $436.80M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell19.5% → 18.3%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.32 → 1.35
- No dilutionShare count did not rise56M → 54M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year7.03% → 6.47%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.59 → 1.66
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