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Lear Corp (LEA) stock analysis

LEANYSEMotor Vehicle Parts & AccessoriesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Oct 3, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 22/3037% below fair value
$108.71+0.14 (+0.13%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $5.24BP/E 9.5Yield 0.71%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth4Performance5Health3Dividend4

Strong22 of 30 checks passed

Lear passes 22 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 37.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $108.71 is below our fair value estimate of $173.15.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 22.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 54.9% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.75; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Lear's P/E of 9.5 is below its own 5-year median of 14.5.

  • P/E below the industry

    Lear's P/E of 9.5 is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 17.4.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Lear's EV/EBITDA of 4.9 is below its 5-year median of 6.5.

  • P/B below the industry

    Lear's price-to-book of 1.05 is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.57.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $108.71 is below our fair value estimate of $173.15.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 37.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 14.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 32.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 22.5% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 3.5% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.

  • Guidance raised

    Lear raised its Full Year 2026 Net Sales outlook on Jul 31, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 6.9% over the last twelve months, against 6.7% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Lear's return on equity of 11.6% is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 3.5%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 22.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 2.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Lear's net margin of 2.5% is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.9%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 54.9% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 51.8% five years ago to 54.9%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 49.7% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 9.1 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.18 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.75; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Lear paid dividends worth 2.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.8% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Lear yields 2.8%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 8 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 27.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 22.6% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$173.15

The share price is 37% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$108.71Price$173.15Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E15.9×14.5×17.4×$182.4240%
EV/EBITDA7.3×6.5×8.2×$187.5835%
P/B1.5×1.5×1.6×$160.3210%
Earnings power9.7% cost of equity––$123.3015%
Fair value$173.15100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 14.5
  • Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 17.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$63.01M
Value traded per 1% price move
$49.43M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.7%
Volatility (annualized)
35%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.16
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.92

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

6.5%−0.0 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

3.3%+0.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

1.9%+0.9 pts over 5 years

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