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Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) stock analysis

KRTNasdaqPlastics Products, NECFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 24/3018% below fair value
$36.75−1.04 (-2.75%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $732.49MP/E 15.6Yield 4.90%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth3Performance6Health6Dividend6

Strong24 of 30 checks passed

Karat Packaging passes 24 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
6/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $36.75 is below our fair value estimate of $44.98.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 29.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 21.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 33.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 14.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 9.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Karat Packaging's EV/EBITDA of 10.3 is above its 5-year median of 9.8.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Karat Packaging's P/E of 15.6 is below its own 5-year median of 16.6.

  • P/E below the industry

    Karat Packaging's P/E of 15.6 is below the Miscellaneous Plastics Products median of 30.9.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Karat Packaging's EV/EBITDA of 10.3 is above its 5-year median of 9.8.

  • P/B above the industry

    Karat Packaging's price-to-book of 4.49 is above the Miscellaneous Plastics Products median of 3.56.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $36.75 is below our fair value estimate of $44.98.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 9.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 56.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 12.4% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 11.0% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Plastics Products median is 9.2%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (2026 third quarter Adjusted EBITDA margin, Aug 6, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 40.3% over the last twelve months, against 38.0% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 29.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 21.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 33.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Karat Packaging's return on equity of 29.8% is above the Miscellaneous Plastics Products median of 7.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 12.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 9.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Karat Packaging's net margin of 9.4% is above the Miscellaneous Plastics Products median of 5.0%.

Financial health6/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 14.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 35.4% five years ago to 14.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 283% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 34.1 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.83 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 6.22; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend6/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Karat Packaging paid dividends worth 5.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 5.0% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Karat Packaging yields 5.0%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 76.9% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 56.4% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$44.98

The share price is 18% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$36.75Price$44.98Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E23.7×16.6×30.9×$55.9344%
EV/EBITDA11.4×9.8×13.1×$41.2039%
Earnings power8.9% cost of equity––$24.5917%
Fair value$44.98100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 16.6
  • Miscellaneous Plastics Products median 30.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$9.98M
Value traded per 1% price move
$4.97M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
19.9%
Volatility (annualized)
52%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.19
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.80

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025

Gross margin

36.8%+6.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

8.9%−0.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

6.7%+0.8 pts over 5 years

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