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Greenland Technologies Holding Corp. (GTEC) stock analysis

GTECNasdaqGeneral Industrial Machinery & EquipmentFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 12, 2026Score 16/3093% below fair value
$0.50−0.03 (-5.83%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $13.33MP/E 1.0Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth3Performance4Health4Dividend0

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

Greenland Technologies passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 93.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $0.50 is below our fair value estimate of $7.52.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 32.3%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 3.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 6.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -0.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -10.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -6.1% a year.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Greenland Technologies's P/E of 1.0 is below its own 5-year median of 5.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    Greenland Technologies's P/E of 1.0 is below the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median of 26.9.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Greenland Technologies's price-to-book of 0.14 is below the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median of 2.84.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $0.50 is below our fair value estimate of $7.52.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 93.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -0.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 72.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -10.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -6.1% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 20.9% over the last twelve months; the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median is 12.4%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 33.7% over the last twelve months, against 29.2% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 32.3%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Greenland Technologies's return on equity of 14.8% is above the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median of 9.9%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 6.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 12.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.4%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Greenland Technologies's net margin of 12.1% is above the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median of 8.0%.

Financial health4/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 3.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 43.3% five years ago to 3.1%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 29.6% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.97 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.07; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Greenland Technologies has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$7.52

The share price is 93% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$0.50Price$7.52Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E15.9×5.0×26.9×$7.6340%
EV/EBITDA10.6×3.0×18.3×$9.9135%
P/B1.6×0.4×2.8×$5.7910%
Earnings power12.7% cost of equity––$2.7815%
Fair value$7.52100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 5.0
  • General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median 26.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$129.83K
Value traded per 1% price move
$33.57K

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
43.4%
Volatility (annualized)
104%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.56
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.57

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2017 to 2025

Gross margin

31.4%+12.2 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

8.3%−1.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

5.4%−4.7 pts over 5 years

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