Greene County Bancorp Inc (GCBC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $609.00MP/E 13.7Yield 1.12%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid18 of 30 checks passed
Greene County Bancorp passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 16.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.8% over five years.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 11.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 10.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 32.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.4% a year.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 9.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $35.77 is above our fair value estimate of $32.68.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 8.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
P/S above the industry
Greene County Bancorp's price-to-sales of 6.35 is above the Savings Institutions median of 3.77.
Valuation2/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Greene County Bancorp's P/E of 13.7 is below its own 5-year median of 14.8.
P/E below the industry
Greene County Bancorp's P/E of 13.7 is below the Savings Institutions median of 13.7.
P/S above the industry
Greene County Bancorp's price-to-sales of 6.35 is above the Savings Institutions median of 3.77.
P/B above the industry
Greene County Bancorp's price-to-book of 2.13 is above the Savings Institutions median of 1.04.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $35.77 is above our fair value estimate of $32.68.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 9.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 8.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 10.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 32.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.4% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 19.9% over the last twelve months; the Savings Institutions median is 9.0%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 16.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.8% over five years.
Return on assets over 1%
Return on assets was 1.4%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.
Return on equity above the industry
Greene County Bancorp's return on equity of 16.7% is above the Savings Institutions median of 6.1%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 11.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 46.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 41.1%.
Net margin above the industry
Greene County Bancorp's net margin of 46.6% is above the Savings Institutions median of 20.3%.
Financial health3/6
Well capitalized
Equity is 8.8% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.
Loans funded by deposits
Needs loans and deposits.
Adequate loan-loss reserve
The allowance for credit losses is not reported.
Efficient operations
Non-interest expense takes 46.4% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.
Deposits growing
Deposits grew 4.6% over the past year.
Borrowings
Needs debt and equity figures.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Greene County Bancorp paid dividends worth 1.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Greene County Bancorp yields 1.1%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 9.2% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 7.7% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$32.68
The share price is 9% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 14.3× | 14.8× | 13.7× | $37.34 | 50% |
| P/B | 1.7× | 2.3× | 1.0× | $28.01 | 50% |
| Fair value | $32.68 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 14.8
- Savings Institutions median 13.7
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
High risk
- Average value traded per day
- $887.08K
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $819.63K
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 9.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 30%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.81
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.47
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +22.9% | +8.1% | +8.1% | +11.1% | |
| Net income | +31.7% | +10.0% | +11.4% | +16.4% | |
| EPS, diluted | +31.7% | +10.0% | +11.4% | +16.4% | |
| Free cash flow | +52.3% | +16.1% | +9.4% | +12.1% | |
| Dividend per share | +11.1% | +12.6% | +10.8% | +8.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 14.2% | 17.2% | 15.9% | |
| Return on assets | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| Diluted shares | 17M | 17M | 17M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Greene County Bancorp generated $158.65M from operations and spent $22.15M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 25% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 44.3% | 0.03× | 12.05× | 15.9% |
| FY2025 | 41.3% | 0.03× | 13.19× | 14.0% |
| FY2024 | 38.2% | 0.02× | 14.19× | 12.7% |
| FY2023 | 42.0% | 0.03× | 15.45× | 18.1% |
| FY2022 | 39.9% | 0.03× | 15.53× | 18.2% |
| FY2021 | 38.1% | 0.03× | 13.93× | 17.2% |
| FY2020 | 35.0% | 0.04× | 12.22× | 15.5% |
| FY2019 | 424.7% | 0.00× | 11.61× | 16.8% |
| FY2018 | 388.7% | 0.00× | 11.87× | 16.0% |
| FY2017 | 30.4% | 0.04× | 11.73× | 14.2% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$41.02M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$42.30M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.1% → 1.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$42.30M vs $41.02M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise17M → 17M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.03 → 0.03
See a number that looks wrong?