National Beverage Corp (FIZZ) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.44BP/E 19.8Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid18 of 30 checks passed
National Beverage passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $36.74 is below our fair value estimate of $42.31.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 40.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 41.8% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 64.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
No debt
National Beverage has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 13.2% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 8.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -5.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.1% a year.
Valuation3/6
P/E above its 5-year median
National Beverage's P/E of 19.8 is above its own 5-year median of 18.3.
P/E below the industry
National Beverage's P/E of 19.8 is below the Beverages median of 32.8.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
National Beverage's EV/EBITDA of 13.8 is below its 5-year median of 16.9.
P/B above the industry
National Beverage's price-to-book of 9.35 is above the Beverages median of 2.94.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $36.74 is below our fair value estimate of $42.31.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 13.2% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 8.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -5.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.1% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -1.8% over the last twelve months; the Beverages median is 4.5%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 36.2% over the last twelve months, against 37.2% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 40.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 41.8% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 64.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
National Beverage's return on equity of 40.1% is above the Beverages median of 12.6%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 1.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 14.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.4%.
Net margin above the industry
National Beverage's net margin of 14.8% is above the Beverages median of 7.3%.
Financial health6/6
No debt
National Beverage has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.39 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 14.10; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
National Beverage paid dividends worth 8.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 8.8% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; National Beverage yields 8.8%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Not covered by earnings
Dividends take 174% of net income, leaving little room.
Not covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 188% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$42.31
The share price is 13% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 26.4× | 18.3× | 32.8× | $49.07 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.9× | 16.9× | 15.0× | $42.03 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 7.5% cost of equity | – | – | $24.94 | 17% |
| Fair value | $42.31 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 18.3
- Beverages median 32.8
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $12.05M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $7.40M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 14.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 31%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.25
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.52
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -1.7% | +0.2% | +1.9% | +5.3% | |
| Gross profit | -1.5% | +3.3% | +0.7% | +6.1% | |
| Operating income | -2.3% | +7.2% | +0.2% | – | |
| Net income | -1.7% | +8.9% | +1.1% | +11.6% | |
| EPS, diluted | -1.5% | +8.8% | +1.1% | +11.6% | |
| Free cash flow | -8.4% | +3.8% | -1.5% | +8.6% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 47.4% | 43.1% | 34.0% | |
| Return on assets | 32.5% | 28.9% | 24.1% | |
| Current ratio | 3.08 | 2.48 | 4.39 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 0.00 | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | -0.79× | – | |
| Interest coverage | – | – | – | |
| Inventory turnover | 9.9× | 9.6× | 8.2× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | |
| Diluted shares | 94M | 94M | 94M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
National Beverage generated $880.66M from operations and spent $727.54M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 20% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 15.6% | 1.55× | 1.41× | 34.0% |
| FY2025 | 15.6% | 1.67× | 1.44× | 37.2% |
| FY2024 | 14.8% | 1.77× | 1.44× | 37.9% |
| FY2023 | 12.1% | 2.25× | 1.70× | 46.5% |
| FY2022 | 13.9% | 2.22× | 1.72× | 53.2% |
| FY2021 | 16.2% | 1.78× | 1.49× | 43.1% |
| FY2020 | 13.0% | 1.82× | 1.40× | 33.2% |
| FY2019 | 13.9% | 2.23× | 1.37× | 42.5% |
| FY2018 | 15.3% | 2.40× | 1.41× | 51.9% |
| FY2017 | 12.9% | 2.51× | 1.46× | 47.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$183.65M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$181.25M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year24.3% → 27.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$181.25M vs $183.65M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.90 → 4.39
- No dilutionShare count did not rise94M → 94M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year36.95% → 37.04%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.56 → 1.75
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