StockData
National Beverage Corp logo

National Beverage Corp (FIZZ) stock analysis

FIZZNasdaqBottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated WatersFiscal year ends May 2
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Sep 10, 2026Score 18/3013% below fair value
$36.74−0.78 (-2.08%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.44BP/E 19.8Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth0Performance6Health6Dividend3

Solid18 of 30 checks passed

National Beverage passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $36.74 is below our fair value estimate of $42.31.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 40.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 41.8% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 64.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • No debt

    National Beverage has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 13.2% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 8.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -5.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.1% a year.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    National Beverage's P/E of 19.8 is above its own 5-year median of 18.3.

  • P/E below the industry

    National Beverage's P/E of 19.8 is below the Beverages median of 32.8.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    National Beverage's EV/EBITDA of 13.8 is below its 5-year median of 16.9.

  • P/B above the industry

    National Beverage's price-to-book of 9.35 is above the Beverages median of 2.94.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $36.74 is below our fair value estimate of $42.31.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 13.2% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 8.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -5.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.1% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -1.8% over the last twelve months; the Beverages median is 4.5%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 36.2% over the last twelve months, against 37.2% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 40.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 41.8% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 64.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    National Beverage's return on equity of 40.1% is above the Beverages median of 12.6%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 1.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 14.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.4%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    National Beverage's net margin of 14.8% is above the Beverages median of 7.3%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    National Beverage has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.39 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 14.10; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    National Beverage paid dividends worth 8.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 8.8% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; National Beverage yields 8.8%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 174% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Not covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 188% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$42.31

The share price is 13% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$36.74Price$42.31Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E26.4×18.3×32.8×$49.0744%
EV/EBITDA15.9×16.9×15.0×$42.0339%
Earnings power7.5% cost of equity––$24.9417%
Fair value$42.31100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 18.3
  • Beverages median 32.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$12.05M
Value traded per 1% price move
$7.40M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.2%
Volatility (annualized)
31%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.25
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.52

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

37.0%−2.3 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

19.5%−1.8 pts over 5 years

Net margin

15.6%−0.7 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?