Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $13.78BP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed14 of 30 checks passed
Coca-Cola Consolidated passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 9 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $211.84 is below our fair value estimate of $212.35.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 90.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 64.6% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 41.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 27.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 0.2% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 5.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -4.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 27.0% a year.
P/S above the industry
Coca-Cola Consolidated's price-to-sales of 1.81 is above the Beverages median of 1.81 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Valuation1/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/S above the industry
Coca-Cola Consolidated's price-to-sales of 1.81 is above the Beverages median of 1.81 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading below fair value
The share price of $211.84 is below our fair value estimate of $212.35.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 0.2% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 5.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -4.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 27.0% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 10.2% over the last twelve months; the Beverages median is 4.5%.
Guidance unchanged
The latest outlook (fiscal year 2026 capital expenditures, Aug 5, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 38.9% over the last twelve months, against 39.8% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 90.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 64.6% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 41.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Coca-Cola Consolidated's return on equity of 90.0% is above the Beverages median of 16.5%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 27.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.7%.
Net margin above the industry
Coca-Cola Consolidated's net margin of 7.5% is above the Beverages median of 7.3%.
Financial health3/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 34.8% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.33 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.12; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Coca-Cola Consolidated paid dividends worth 0.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Coca-Cola Consolidated yields 0.5%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 12.2% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 12.9% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$212.35
The share price is 0% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 15.0× | – | 15.0× | $243.54 | 70% |
| Earnings power | 7.5% cost of equity | – | – | $139.57 | 30% |
| Fair value | $212.35 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Beverages median 32.8
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $108.18M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $63.28M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 15.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 37%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.12
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.53
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.8% | +5.2% | +7.6% | +12.1% | |
| Gross profit | +4.3% | +8.0% | +10.2% | +12.3% | |
| Operating income | +3.3% | +14.0% | +24.9% | +25.5% | |
| Net income | -9.9% | +9.9% | +27.0% | +25.5% | |
| Free cash flow | +22.6% | +34.3% | +16.2% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 19.3% | 40.1% | 168.3% | |
| Return on assets | 2.3% | 5.4% | 11.9% | |
| Current ratio | 1.30 | 1.32 | 1.26 | |
| Debt to equity | 3.27 | 1.83 | -3.77 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 3.57× | 1.80× | 2.19× | |
| Interest coverage | 3.6× | 8.5× | – | |
| Inventory turnover | 16.7× | 14.3× | 13.1× | |
| Capex to revenue | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 9M | – | – |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Coca-Cola Consolidated generated $3.70B from operations and spent $4.99B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 28% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 7.9% | 1.50× | 14.19× | 168.3% |
| FY2024 | 9.2% | 1.44× | 3.37× | 44.4% |
| FY2023 | 6.1% | 1.66× | 3.14× | 32.0% |
| FY2022 | 6.9% | 1.73× | 3.92× | 47.1% |
| FY2021 | 3.4% | 1.67× | 5.44× | 31.0% |
| FY2020 | 3.4% | 1.58× | 7.38× | 40.1% |
| FY2019 | 0.2% | 1.57× | 8.70× | 3.2% |
| FY2018 | -0.4% | 1.52× | 8.39× | -5.5% |
| FY2017 | 2.3% | 1.55× | 8.58× | 30.0% |
| FY2016 | 1.6% | 1.46× | 8.26× | 19.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$570.58M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$931.90M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year14.8% → 10.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$931.90M vs $570.58M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell27.0% → 62.4%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.94 → 1.26
- No dilutionShare count did not rise– → –
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year39.90% → 39.74%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.61 → 1.36
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