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Boston Beer Co Inc (SAM) stock analysis

SAMNYSEMalt BeveragesFiscal year ends December 27
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 26, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 22, 2026Score 9/3016% below fair value
$219.16−1.00 (-0.45%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.22BP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth2Performance0Health6Dividend0

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

Boston Beer passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $219.16 is below our fair value estimate of $260.56.

  • No debt

    Boston Beer has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 22.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 15.9% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -8.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 6.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -14.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 10.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Boston Beer's price-to-book of 3.02 is above the Beverages median of 2.94.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $219.16 is below our fair value estimate of $260.56.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 15.9% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 22.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -179% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -10.8% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -3.7% over the last twelve months; the Beverages median is 4.5%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Boston Beer lowered its Full Year 2026 Advertising, Promotion, and Selling Expense Year Over Year Change ($ million) outlook on Jul 23, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 49.1% over the last twelve months, against 47.7% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -8.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 6.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -14.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Boston Beer's return on equity of -8.9% is below the Beverages median of 12.6%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 10.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -3.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.2%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Boston Beer's net margin of -3.8% is below the Beverages median of 7.3%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    Boston Beer has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.13 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.02; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Boston Beer has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$260.56

The share price is 16% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$219.16Price$260.56Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/B3.2×3.5×2.9×$232.8529%
P/S1.8×1.8×1.8×$339.8629%
Earnings power8.6% cost of equity––$226.1643%
Fair value$260.56100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 47.5
  • Beverages median 32.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$42.19M
Value traded per 1% price move
$23.69M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
26.0%
Volatility (annualized)
38%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.12
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.74

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

48.5%+1.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

7.4%−6.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

5.5%−5.5 pts over 5 years

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