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Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock analysis

ELNYSEPerfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet PreparationsFiscal year ends June 30
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 2, 2026Score 8/3069% above fair value
$112.33−1.10 (-0.97%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $40.64BP/E 112.3Yield 1.25%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth2Performance0Health3Dividend2

Weak8 of 30 checks passed

Estee Lauder Companies passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 28.9% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.36; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Guidance raised

    Estee Lauder Companies raised its fiscal 2027 full-year Adjusted operating margin outlook on Aug 19, 2026.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 33.4% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 68.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $112.33 is above our fair value estimate of $66.49.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 6.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 167% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Estee Lauder Companies's P/E of 112.3 is above its own 5-year median of 58.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    Estee Lauder Companies's P/E of 112.3 is above the Soap, Detergents, and Cleaning Preparations; Perfumes, Cosmetics, and Other Toilet Preparations median of 29.9.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Estee Lauder Companies's EV/EBITDA of 24.5 is below its 5-year median of 27.4.

  • P/B above the industry

    Estee Lauder Companies's price-to-book of 10.06 is above the Soap, Detergents, and Cleaning Preparations; Perfumes, Cosmetics, and Other Toilet Preparations median of 4.86.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $112.33 is above our fair value estimate of $66.49.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 68.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -43.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 5.8% over the last twelve months; the Soap, Detergents, and Cleaning Preparations; Perfumes, Cosmetics, and Other Toilet Preparations median is 5.9%.

  • Guidance raised

    Estee Lauder Companies raised its fiscal 2027 full-year Adjusted operating margin outlook on Aug 19, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 76.0% over the last twelve months, against 74.2% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 6.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin against the industry

    Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 167% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 91.9% five years ago to 167%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 28.9% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 3.1 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.25 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.36; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Estee Lauder Companies paid dividends worth 1.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Estee Lauder Companies yields 1.2%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 33.4% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$66.49

The share price is 69% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$112.33Price$66.49Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E44.4×58.8×29.9×$44.4540%
EV/EBITDA22.7×27.4×17.9×$103.5235%
P/B7.1×9.4×4.9×$79.5410%
Earnings power10.8% cost of equity––$30.1715%
Fair value$66.49100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 58.8
  • Soap, Detergents, and Cleaning Preparations; Perfumes, Cosmetics, and Other Toilet Preparations median 29.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$371.30M
Value traded per 1% price move
$177.72M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
31.4%
Volatility (annualized)
48%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.44
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.17

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

75.5%−0.9 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

5.2%−11.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

–

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