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Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) stock analysis

GTXNasdaqMotor Vehicle Parts & AccessoriesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 14/3019% below fair value
$21.50+0.50 (+2.38%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $3.97BP/E 11.0Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth4Performance3Health2Dividend3

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

Garrett Motion passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $21.00 is below our fair value estimate of $25.81.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 31.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 26.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 34.9% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 15.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 31.1% a year.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.63; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Garrett Motion's P/E of 10.8 is above its own 5-year median of 9.8.

  • P/E below the industry

    Garrett Motion's P/E of 10.8 is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 18.7.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/S above the industry

    Garrett Motion's price-to-sales of 1.03 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 0.67 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $21.00 is below our fair value estimate of $25.81.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 26.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 15.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 31.1% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 6.9% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.

  • Guidance raised

    Garrett Motion raised its Full Year 2026 Net cash provided by operating activities (GAAP) outlook on Oct 29, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 21.1% over the last twelve months, against 20.6% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 31.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 10.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Garrett Motion's net margin of 10.0% is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.9%.

Financial health2/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 34.9% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.04 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.63; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Garrett Motion paid dividends worth 1.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Garrett Motion yields 1.5%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 16.4% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 15.7% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$25.81

The share price is 19% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$21.00Price$25.81Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E14.2×9.8×18.7×$27.7873%
Earnings power9.1% cost of equity––$20.5527%
Fair value$25.81100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 9.8
  • Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 18.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$91.70M
Value traded per 1% price move
$39.07M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
21.2%
Volatility (annualized)
47%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.33
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.85

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2015 to 2025

Gross margin

20.4%+2.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

8.6%+6.0 pts over 5 years

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