California Resources Corp (CRC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $4.21BP/E –Yield 3.30%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
California Resources passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $47.45 is below our fair value estimate of $58.45.
Low debt
Debt is 37.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 10.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 68.4% of total debt.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 18.8% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was -3.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 24.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -1.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -15.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation2/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
California Resources's EV/EBITDA of 11.8 is above its 5-year median of 4.5.
P/B below the industry
California Resources's price-to-book of 1.24 is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $47.45 is below our fair value estimate of $58.45.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 18.8% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 10.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -15.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -22.5% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.
Guidance raised
California Resources raised its 4Q26E Other operating expenses net of other revenue outlook on Nov 2, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was -3.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 24.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -1.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
California Resources's return on equity of -3.6% is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 5.5%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was -3.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.7%.
Net margin below the industry
California Resources's net margin of -3.8% is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 3.8%.
Financial health3/6
Low debt
Debt is 37.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 52.5% five years ago to 37.7%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 68.4% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.66 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.37; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
California Resources paid dividends worth 3.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.4% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; California Resources yields 3.4%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 35.8% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$58.45
The share price is 19% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDAleft out, too far from the others | 4.9× | 4.5× | 5.3× | $11.50 | – |
| P/B | 1.4× | 1.5× | 1.3× | $54.59 | 40% |
| Earnings power | 8.4% cost of equity | – | – | $61.02 | 60% |
| Fair value | $58.45 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 7.3
- Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median 10.4
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $46.80M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $31.88M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 14.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 34%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.11
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.70
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +14.7% | +10.7% | – | +4.3% | |
| Operating income | -3.5% | -9.7% | – | – | |
| Net income | -3.5% | -11.5% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -10.2% | -15.0% | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | +53.0% | +20.4% | – | +75.1% | |
| Dividend per share | +12.4% | +25.5% | – | +18.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -37.9% | – | 10.1% | |
| Return on assets | 4.2% | – | 5.0% | |
| Current ratio | 0.59 | 0.70 | 0.89 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 0.52 | 0.35 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | 1.04× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | – | |
| Capex to revenue | 4.8% | – | 8.8% | |
| Diluted shares | 40M | – | 87M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
California Resources generated $3.48B from operations and spent $2.91B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 46% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 9.9% | 0.50× | 2.02× | 10.1% |
| FY2024 | 11.8% | 0.57× | 1.93× | 13.1% |
| FY2023 | 20.1% | 0.70× | 1.95× | 27.6% |
| FY2022 | 19.4% | 0.69× | 2.20× | 29.5% |
| FY2021 | 32.4% | 0.55× | 2.45× | 43.3% |
| FY2019 | -1.1% | 0.37× | -18.82× | 7.5% |
| FY2018 | 10.7% | 0.46× | -11.37× | -55.8% |
| FY2017 | -13.3% | 0.32× | -9.16× | 38.8% |
| FY2016 | 18.0% | 0.23× | -9.10× | -37.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$363.00M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$865.00M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year9.4% → 5.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$865.00M vs $363.00M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell15.9% → 17.3%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.04 → 0.89
- No dilutionShare count did not rise81M → 87M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.80 → 0.51
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