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California Resources Corp (CRC) stock analysis

CRCNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural GasFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 3, 2026Score 10/3019% below fair value
$47.45+0.33 (+0.70%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $4.21BP/E –Yield 3.30%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth2Performance0Health3Dividend3

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

California Resources passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $47.45 is below our fair value estimate of $58.45.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 37.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 10.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 68.4% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.8% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -3.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 24.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -1.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -15.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    California Resources's EV/EBITDA of 11.8 is above its 5-year median of 4.5.

  • P/B below the industry

    California Resources's price-to-book of 1.24 is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $47.45 is below our fair value estimate of $58.45.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.8% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 10.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -15.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -22.5% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.

  • Guidance raised

    California Resources raised its 4Q26E Other operating expenses net of other revenue outlook on Nov 2, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -3.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 24.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -1.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    California Resources's return on equity of -3.6% is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 5.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -3.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.7%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    California Resources's net margin of -3.8% is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 3.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 37.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 52.5% five years ago to 37.7%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 68.4% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.66 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.37; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    California Resources paid dividends worth 3.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.4% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; California Resources yields 3.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 35.8% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$58.45

The share price is 19% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$47.45Price$58.45Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDAleft out, too far from the others4.9×4.5×5.3×$11.50–
P/B1.4×1.5×1.3×$54.5940%
Earnings power8.4% cost of equity––$61.0260%
Fair value$58.45100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 7.3
  • Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median 10.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$46.80M
Value traded per 1% price move
$31.88M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.4%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.11
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.70

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

16.3%

Net margin

9.9%

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