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Capital City Bank Group Inc (CCBG) stock analysis

CCBGNasdaqState Commercial BanksFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 12/3015% above fair value
$51.15−0.22 (-0.43%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $875.47MP/E 14.0Yield 1.96%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth1Performance3Health3Dividend4

Mixed12 of 30 checks passed

Capital City Bank passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Modest borrowings

    Borrowings other than deposits are 6.8% of equity.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 14.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 22.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 29.9% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 15.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $51.15 is above our fair value estimate of $44.35.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 8.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Capital City Bank's P/E of 14.0 is above its own 5-year median of 12.6.

  • P/E above the industry

    Capital City Bank's P/E of 14.0 is above the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.

  • P/S below the industry

    Capital City Bank's price-to-sales of 3.43 is below the Commercial Banks median of 3.60.

  • P/B above the industry

    Capital City Bank's price-to-book of 1.53 is above the Commercial Banks median of 1.29.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $51.15 is above our fair value estimate of $44.35.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 15.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 8.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 22.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 2.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.3% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 2.0% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.3%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Capital City Bank lowered its 2026 annual effective tax rate outlook on Jul 21, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 1.4%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Capital City Bank's return on equity of 11.3% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.5%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 14.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 24.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.4%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Capital City Bank's net margin of 24.6% is below the Commercial Banks median of 30.3%.

Financial health3/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 13.1% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Needs loans and deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is not reported.

  • High cost base

    Non-interest expense takes 66.2% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits growing

    Deposits grew 1.4% over the past year.

  • Modest borrowings

    Borrowings other than deposits are 6.8% of equity.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Capital City Bank paid dividends worth 2.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Capital City Bank yields 2.1%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 29.2% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 29.9% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$44.35

The share price is 15% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$51.15Price$44.35Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E12.3×12.6×12.1×$45.1950%
P/B1.3×1.3×1.3×$43.5050%
Fair value$44.35100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 12.6
  • Commercial Banks median 12.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$4.12M
Value traded per 1% price move
$4.57M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
5.6%
Volatility (annualized)
22%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.97
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.46

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

24.2%+9.4 pts over 5 years

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