StockData
Caseys General Stores Inc logo

Caseys General Stores Inc (CASY) stock analysis

CASYNasdaqRetail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline StationsFiscal year ends April 30
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Sep 8, 2026Score 17/3097% above fair value
$714.11+15.63 (+2.24%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $26.39BP/E 34.4Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth4Performance5Health4Dividend4

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Caseys General Stores passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 20.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 17.6% over five years.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 18.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 17.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 32.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.0% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 96.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $714.11 is above our fair value estimate of $363.36.

  • High debt

    Debt is 59.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Caseys General Stores's P/E of 34.4 is above its own 5-year median of 26.2.

  • P/E above the industry

    Caseys General Stores's P/E of 34.4 is above the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 12.5.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Caseys General Stores's price-to-book of 6.45 is above the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 2.37.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $714.11 is above our fair value estimate of $363.36.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 96.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 17.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 32.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.0% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 13.8% over the last twelve months; the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median is 1.5%.

  • Guidance raised

    Caseys General Stores raised its fiscal 2027 Depreciation and amortization outlook on Sep 8, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 23.8% over the last twelve months, against 23.8% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 20.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 17.6% over five years.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Caseys General Stores's return on equity of 20.0% is above the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 12.4%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 18.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 4.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Caseys General Stores's net margin of 4.1% is above the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 2.6%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 59.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 70.6% five years ago to 59.4%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 57.2% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.02 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.83; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Caseys General Stores paid dividends worth 0.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Caseys General Stores yields 0.3%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 7 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 11.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 13.2% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$363.36

The share price is 97% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$714.11Price$363.36Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E19.4×26.2×12.5×$403.0962%
P/B3.3×4.2×2.4×$364.2015%
Earnings power7.6% cost of equity––$256.8623%
Fair value$363.36100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 26.2
  • Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median 12.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$317.16M
Value traded per 1% price move
$216.34M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
28.5%
Volatility (annualized)
38%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.78
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.54

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

24.6%−2.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

4.1%+0.5 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?