Avery Dennison Corp (AVY) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $14.26BP/E 20.6Yield 1.97%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
Avery Dennison passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 31.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 33.6% over five years.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 4.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 33.5% of total debt.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.19; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 18.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $188.18 is above our fair value estimate of $158.27.
High debt
Debt is 158% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Avery Dennison's P/E of 20.6 is above its own 5-year median of 20.5.
P/E above the industry
Avery Dennison's P/E of 20.6 is above the Paper and Allied Products median of 18.7.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Avery Dennison's price-to-book of 6.14 is above the Paper and Allied Products median of 1.46.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $188.18 is above our fair value estimate of $158.27.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 18.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -0.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.4% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 5.8% over the last twelve months; the Paper and Allied Products median is 0.8%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (full year 2026 reported EPS, Oct 29, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 29.0% over the last twelve months, against 28.6% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 31.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 33.6% over five years.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Avery Dennison's return on equity of 31.2% is above the Paper and Allied Products median of 0.3%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 4.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.8%.
Net margin above the industry
Avery Dennison's net margin of 7.6% is above the Paper and Allied Products median of 0.2%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 158% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 143% five years ago to 158%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 33.5% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.13 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.19; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Avery Dennison paid dividends worth 2.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Avery Dennison yields 2.1%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 41.7% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 27.7% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$158.27
The share price is 19% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.6× | 20.5× | 18.7× | $178.80 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.7× | – | 10.7× | $158.94 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 8.6% cost of equity | – | – | $101.98 | 17% |
| Fair value | $158.27 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 20.5
- Paper and Allied Products median 18.7
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $117.24M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $121.31M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 14.5%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 24%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.17
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.75
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +1.1% | -0.7% | +4.9% | +4.0% | |
| Gross profit | +0.6% | +1.9% | +5.8% | +4.5% | |
| Net income | -2.4% | -3.1% | +4.4% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +0.7% | -1.5% | +5.9% | +11.5% | |
| Free cash flow | -2.4% | +1.4% | +5.3% | +7.7% | |
| Dividend per share | +7.2% | +8.1% | +9.4% | +9.7% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 33.9% | 41.3% | 30.2% | |
| Return on assets | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | |
| Current ratio | 0.95 | 1.25 | 1.13 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.66 | |
| Inventory turnover | 8.8× | 7.3× | 6.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 91M | 84M | 78M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Avery Dennison generated $4.65B from operations and spent $3.98B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 30% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 7.8% | 1.03× | 3.78× | 30.2% |
| FY2024 | 8.1% | 1.05× | 3.74× | 31.8% |
| FY2023 | 6.0% | 1.04× | 3.88× | 24.2% |
| FY2022 | 8.4% | 1.14× | 4.02× | 38.3% |
| FY2021 | 8.8% | 1.20× | 4.12× | 43.4% |
| FY2020 | 8.0% | 1.20× | 4.30× | 41.3% |
| FY2019 | 4.3% | 1.33× | 4.94× | 28.1% |
| FY2018 | 6.5% | 1.39× | 5.19× | 47.0% |
| FY2017 | 4.3% | 1.39× | 4.87× | 28.8% |
| FY2016 | 5.3% | 1.43× | 4.51× | 33.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$688.00M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$881.40M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year8.6% → 8.2%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$881.40M vs $688.00M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell30.5% → 36.5%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.08 → 1.13
- No dilutionShare count did not rise81M → 78M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year28.90% → 28.75%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.07 → 1.05
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