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Avery Dennison Corp (AVY) stock analysis

AVYNYSEConverted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 3, 2026Score 13/3019% above fair value
$188.18−0.86 (-0.45%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $14.26BP/E 20.6Yield 1.97%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance4Health3Dividend4

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Avery Dennison passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 31.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 33.6% over five years.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 33.5% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.19; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $188.18 is above our fair value estimate of $158.27.

  • High debt

    Debt is 158% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Avery Dennison's P/E of 20.6 is above its own 5-year median of 20.5.

  • P/E above the industry

    Avery Dennison's P/E of 20.6 is above the Paper and Allied Products median of 18.7.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Avery Dennison's price-to-book of 6.14 is above the Paper and Allied Products median of 1.46.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $188.18 is above our fair value estimate of $158.27.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -1.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -0.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.4% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 5.8% over the last twelve months; the Paper and Allied Products median is 0.8%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (full year 2026 reported EPS, Oct 29, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 29.0% over the last twelve months, against 28.6% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 31.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 33.6% over five years.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Avery Dennison's return on equity of 31.2% is above the Paper and Allied Products median of 0.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 7.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Avery Dennison's net margin of 7.6% is above the Paper and Allied Products median of 0.2%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 158% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 143% five years ago to 158%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 33.5% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.13 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.19; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Avery Dennison paid dividends worth 2.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Avery Dennison yields 2.1%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 41.7% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 27.7% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$158.27

The share price is 19% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$188.18Price$158.27Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E19.6×20.5×18.7×$178.8044%
EV/EBITDA10.7×–10.7×$158.9439%
Earnings power8.6% cost of equity––$101.9817%
Fair value$158.27100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 20.5
  • Paper and Allied Products median 18.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$117.24M
Value traded per 1% price move
$121.31M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.5%
Volatility (annualized)
24%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.17
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.75

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

28.8%+1.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

7.8%−0.2 pts over 5 years

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