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AppLovin Corp (APP) stock analysis

APPNasdaqServices-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 17/3027% below fair value
$404.77+9.26 (+2.34%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $135.46BP/E 27.2Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth3Performance5Health4Dividend0

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

AppLovin passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 26.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $404.77 is below our fair value estimate of $552.04.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 210% over the last twelve months and averaged 71.6% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 144%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • High debt

    Debt is 107% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • P/B above the industry

    AppLovin's price-to-book of 41.06 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.32.

  • No dividend

    AppLovin has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    AppLovin's P/E of 27.2 is below its own 5-year median of 63.6.

  • P/E below the industry

    AppLovin's P/E of 27.2 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 27.6.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    AppLovin's EV/EBITDA of 22.4 is below its 5-year median of 27.5.

  • P/B above the industry

    AppLovin's price-to-book of 41.06 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.32.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $404.77 is below our fair value estimate of $552.04.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 26.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 24.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 57.8% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 9.6%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (3Q26 Revenue, Aug 5, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 88.8% over the last twelve months, against 86.8% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 210% over the last twelve months and averaged 71.6% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 144%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    AppLovin's return on equity of 210% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -1.2%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 65.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.7%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    AppLovin's net margin of 65.9% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.8%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 107% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 139% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 29.9 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.80 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 19.58; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    AppLovin has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$552.04

The share price is 27% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$404.77Price$552.04Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E45.0×63.6×27.6×$668.7053%
EV/EBITDA23.2×27.5×18.8×$418.7147%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others14.9% cost of equity––$47.68–
Fair value$552.04100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 63.6
  • Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 27.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$1.70B
Value traded per 1% price move
$563.20M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
34.9%
Volatility (annualized)
80%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.53
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
2.46

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2018 to 2025

Gross margin

87.9%+26.2 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

75.8%+80.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

60.8%+69.5 pts over 5 years

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