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Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) stock analysis

ADVNasdaqServices-Business Services, NECFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 5/3079% below fair value
$31.92−0.37 (-1.15%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $409.29MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth0Performance1Health1Dividend0

Weak5 of 30 checks passed

Advantage Solutions passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 15 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 79.4% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $31.92 is below our fair value estimate of $155.29.

  • P/S below the industry

    Advantage Solutions's price-to-sales of 0.11 is below the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 1.67 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was -8.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -10.7%.

What to watch

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -1.0 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 7.4% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is -0.16; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation3/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Advantage Solutions's EV/EBITDA of 32.6 is above its 5-year median of 11.7.

  • P/S below the industry

    Advantage Solutions's price-to-sales of 0.11 is below the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 1.67 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $31.92 is below our fair value estimate of $155.29.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 79.4% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 2.9% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Business Services median is 9.9%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Advantage Solutions lowered its Fiscal Year 2026 Net Interest Expense outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 13.1% over the last twelve months, against 14.2% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6

  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was -8.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -10.7%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Advantage Solutions's net margin of -8.9% is below the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 3.8%.

Financial health1/6

  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 7.4% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -1.0 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.81 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is -0.16; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    Advantage Solutions has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

Our estimate per share

$155.29

The share price is 79% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$31.92Price$155.29Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/S0.9×0.2×1.7×$263.7240%
Earnings power10.9% cost of equity––$83.0060%
Fair value$155.29100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Miscellaneous Business Services median 25.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$2.14M
Value traded per 1% price move
$671.23K

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
42.4%
Volatility (annualized)
102%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.04
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.20

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2017 to 2025

Gross margin

14.0%−5.2 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

-3.6%−5.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-6.4%−0.9 pts over 5 years

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