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Maximus, Inc. (MMS) stock analysis

MMSNYSEServices-Business Services, NECFiscal year ends September 30
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 6, 2026Score 22/3051% below fair value
$65.38−0.74 (-1.12%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.42BP/E 9.7Yield 1.84%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth4Performance6Health4Dividend2

Strong22 of 30 checks passed

Maximus passes 22 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 51.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $65.38 is below our fair value estimate of $133.48.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 21.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.5% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 13.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • High debt

    Debt is 94.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -3.3% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Business Services median is 9.9%.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 2.3% five years ago to 94.0%.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Maximus's P/E of 9.7 is below its own 5-year median of 16.8.

  • P/E below the industry

    Maximus's P/E of 9.7 is below the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 25.8.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Maximus's EV/EBITDA of 7.9 is below its 5-year median of 14.6.

  • P/B below the industry

    Maximus's price-to-book of 1.97 is below the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 2.48.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $65.38 is below our fair value estimate of $133.48.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 51.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 18.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 17.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.3% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -3.3% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Business Services median is 9.9%.

  • Guidance raised

    Maximus raised its fiscal year 2026 Interest expense outlook on Aug 6, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 25.6% over the last twelve months, against 24.0% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 21.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.5% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 13.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Maximus's return on equity of 21.1% is above the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 6.8%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 8.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 7.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Maximus's net margin of 7.1% is above the Miscellaneous Business Services median of 3.8%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 94.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 2.3% five years ago to 94.0%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 28.7% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 6.5 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.42 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Maximus paid dividends worth 2.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Maximus yields 2.0%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$133.48

The share price is 51% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$65.38Price$133.48Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E21.3×16.8×25.8×$143.6940%
EV/EBITDA15.1×14.6×15.7×$152.1435%
P/B2.7×2.8×2.5×$88.2810%
Earnings power7.7% cost of equity––$92.8715%
Fair value$133.48100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 16.8
  • Miscellaneous Business Services median 25.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$39.91M
Value traded per 1% price move
$24.03M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
24.1%
Volatility (annualized)
37%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.70
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.57

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

24.6%+4.0 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

9.7%+1.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

5.9%−0.3 pts over 5 years

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