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VSE Corp (VSECU) stock analysis

VSECUNasdaqServices-Engineering ServicesFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as VSEC
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 6, 2026Score 13/3019% above fair value
$43.42+0.96 (+2.27%)

Close on Nov 3, 2026Market cap $4.57BP/E 59.5Yield 0.25%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 3, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth3Performance2Health3Dividend3

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

VSE passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 32.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 18.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • P/E below its 5-year median

    VSE's P/E of 59.5 is below its own 5-year median of 67.6.

  • Guidance raised

    VSE raised its full year 2026 revenue growth outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 19.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $162.96 is above our fair value estimate of $136.59.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 3.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 3.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    VSE's P/E of 59.5 is below its own 5-year median of 67.6.

  • P/E above the industry

    VSE's P/E of 59.5 is above the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 26.2.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    VSE's EV/EBITDA of 30.0 is above its 5-year median of 30.0.

  • P/B below the industry

    VSE's price-to-book of 1.56 is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 3.01.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $162.96 is above our fair value estimate of $136.59.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 19.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 18.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -36.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 41.6% over the last twelve months; the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median is 0.2%.

  • Guidance raised

    VSE raised its full year 2026 revenue growth outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 3.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 3.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    VSE's return on equity of 3.8% is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 10.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 5.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    VSE's net margin of 5.5% is above the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 4.2%.

Financial health3/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 32.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 70.5% five years ago to 32.3%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 2.9% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.77 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.68; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    VSE paid dividends worth 0.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; VSE yields 0.2%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 12.4% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$136.59

The share price is 19% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$162.96Price$136.59Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E45.0×67.6×26.2×$123.3047%
EV/EBITDA23.0×30.0×15.9×$117.6141%
P/B2.5×1.9×3.0×$256.1712%
Fair value$136.59100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 67.6
  • Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median 26.2

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$79.64M
Value traded per 1% price move
$26.10M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
23.9%
Volatility (annualized)
60%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.24
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.45

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

8.1%+6.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

1.1%+1.8 pts over 5 years

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