VSE Corp (VSECU) stock analysis
Close on Nov 3, 2026Market cap $4.57BP/E 59.5Yield 0.25%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 3, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
VSE passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Low debt
Debt is 32.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 18.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
P/E below its 5-year median
VSE's P/E of 59.5 is below its own 5-year median of 67.6.
Guidance raised
VSE raised its full year 2026 revenue growth outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 19.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $162.96 is above our fair value estimate of $136.59.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation2/6
P/E below its 5-year median
VSE's P/E of 59.5 is below its own 5-year median of 67.6.
P/E above the industry
VSE's P/E of 59.5 is above the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 26.2.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
VSE's EV/EBITDA of 30.0 is above its 5-year median of 30.0.
P/B below the industry
VSE's price-to-book of 1.56 is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 3.01.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $162.96 is above our fair value estimate of $136.59.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 19.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 18.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -36.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 41.6% over the last twelve months; the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median is 0.2%.
Guidance raised
VSE raised its full year 2026 revenue growth outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 3.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
VSE's return on equity of 3.8% is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 10.5%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 5.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.2%.
Net margin above the industry
VSE's net margin of 5.5% is above the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 4.2%.
Financial health3/6
Low debt
Debt is 32.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 70.5% five years ago to 32.3%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 2.9% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 3.77 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.68; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
VSE paid dividends worth 0.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; VSE yields 0.2%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 12.4% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$136.59
The share price is 19% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 45.0× | 67.6× | 26.2× | $123.30 | 47% |
| EV/EBITDA | 23.0× | 30.0× | 15.9× | $117.61 | 41% |
| P/B | 2.5× | 1.9× | 3.0× | $256.17 | 12% |
| Fair value | $136.59 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 67.6
- Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median 26.2
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $79.64M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $26.10M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 23.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 60%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.24
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.45
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +41.5% | +18.4% | +10.9% | +7.6% | |
| Operating income | +52.5% | +18.7% | +45.1% | +5.9% | |
| Net income | -23.6% | -25.3% | – | -7.3% | |
| EPS, diluted | -35.3% | -36.9% | – | -13.4% | |
| Free cash flow | – | – | -28.9% | -14.4% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | 0.0% | +2.1% | +6.4% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 11.1% | -1.4% | 1.0% | |
| Return on assets | 4.2% | -0.6% | 0.6% | |
| Current ratio | 1.74 | 2.55 | 3.76 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.84 | 0.70 | 0.20 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.76× | 6.59× | 1.73× | |
| Interest coverage | – | – | 4.4× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 11M | 11M | 21M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
VSE generated $105.51M from operations and spent $112.68M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 73% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 1.1% | 0.59× | 1.55× | 1.0% |
| FY2024 | 1.9% | 0.51× | 1.93× | 1.9% |
| FY2023 | 7.2% | 0.46× | 2.20× | 7.3% |
| FY2022 | 4.2% | 0.70× | 2.21× | 6.5% |
| FY2021 | 1.7% | 0.57× | 2.20× | 2.1% |
| FY2020 | -0.8% | 0.81× | 2.26× | -1.4% |
| FY2019 | 4.9% | 1.01× | 2.15× | 10.7% |
| FY2018 | 5.0% | 1.10× | 2.04× | 11.3% |
| FY2017 | 5.1% | 1.18× | 2.35× | 14.3% |
| FY2016 | 3.9% | 1.08× | 2.64× | 11.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$11.70M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$26.99M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.1% → 0.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$26.99M vs $11.70M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell23.0% → 14.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose3.23 → 3.76
- No dilutionShare count did not rise18M → 21M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.58 → 0.64
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