TC Energy Corp (TCANF) stock analysis
Close on Oct 19, 2026Market cap $66.96BP/E 27.5Yield 3.78%
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Mixed9 of 30 checks passed
TC Energy passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 13 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 21.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 5.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 72.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 475% of total debt.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 12.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 5.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -25.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -5.3% a year.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B against the industry
Needs positive book value.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 72.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -25.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -5.3% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 10.7% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 12.0%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (2026 Comparable EBITDA, Feb 13, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 98.6% over the last twelve months, against 98.4% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 12.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 21.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
TC Energy's return on equity of 12.8% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 11.4%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 5.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 23.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.0%.
Net margin above the industry
TC Energy's net margin of 23.1% is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 13.3%.
Financial health3/6
Low debt
Debt is 5.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 6.3% five years ago to 5.7%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 475% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 2.4 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.63 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
TC Energy has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for TC Energy. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $183.76M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $137.79M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 9.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 20%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.12
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.38
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +10.7% | +7.4% | +3.2% | +3.0% | |
| Gross profit | +10.9% | +6.9% | +2.9% | – | |
| Operating income | +0.9% | +48.6% | +3.5% | +54.9% | |
| Net income | -25.1% | +67.6% | -5.3% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -26.2% | +72.2% | -7.2% | – | |
| Dividend per share | -8.2% | -1.9% | +1.0% | +5.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 1.1% | 14.9% | 12.8% | |
| Return on assets | 0.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | |
| Current ratio | 1.05 | 0.43 | 0.63 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.66 | – | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 9.20× | – | – | |
| Interest coverage | 1.2× | 3.0× | 2.4× | |
| Inventory turnover | 6.3× | 0.0× | 0.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | 39.9% | 68.5% | – | |
| Diluted shares | 760M | 940M | 1.04B |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
TC Energy does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 23.1% | 0.13× | 4.32× | 12.8% |
| FY2024 | 34.1% | 0.11× | 4.26× | 16.4% |
| FY2023 | 22.0% | 0.11× | 3.77× | 9.2% |
| FY2022 | 6.1% | 0.11× | 3.25× | 2.2% |
| FY2021 | 14.6% | 0.13× | 3.16× | 6.0% |
| FY2020 | 35.5% | 0.13× | 3.21× | 14.9% |
| FY2019 | 31.2% | 0.13× | 3.30× | 13.8% |
| FY2018 | 27.1% | 0.15× | 3.40× | 13.6% |
| FY2017 | 23.5% | 0.15× | 3.53× | 12.8% |
| FY2016 | 1.9% | 0.16× | 3.75× | 1.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zeroC$3.52B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zeroC$7.35B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.8% → 3.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net incomeC$7.35B vs C$3.52B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.55 → 0.63
- No dilutionShare count did not rise1.04B → 1.04B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year98.42% → 98.64%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.11 → 0.13