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AT&T Inc. (TBB) stock analysis

TBBNYSETelephone Communications (No Radiotelephone)Fiscal year ends December 31Also trades as T, T.PA, T.PC
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Jul 22, 2026Score 15/3035% below fair value
$17.75+0.11 (+0.62%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $121.63BP/E 5.9Yield 6.25%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth1Performance2Health1Dividend5

Solid15 of 30 checks passed

AT&T passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 9 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
5/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 35.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $21.41 is below our fair value estimate of $33.04.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 27.7% of total debt.

  • P/E below its 5-year median

    AT&T's P/E of 7.1 is below its own 5-year median of 8.8.

What to watch

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 3.6 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.85; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    AT&T's P/E of 7.1 is below its own 5-year median of 8.8.

  • P/E below the industry

    AT&T's P/E of 7.1 is below the Telephone Communications median of 12.5.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    AT&T's EV/EBITDA of 6.3 is below its 5-year median of 7.9.

  • P/S below the industry

    AT&T's price-to-sales of 1.15 is below the Telephone Communications median of 1.33 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $21.41 is below our fair value estimate of $33.04.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 35.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 2.6% over the last twelve months; the Telephone Communications median is 5.2%.

  • Guidance raised

    AT&T raised its 2026 Legacy service revenue decline outlook on Jul 22, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 16.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    AT&T's net margin of 16.9% is above the Telephone Communications median of 6.6%.

Financial health1/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 27.7% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 3.6 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.97 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.85; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend5/6
  • Pays a dividend

    AT&T paid dividends worth 5.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 5.2% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; AT&T yields 5.2%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 37.2% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 45.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$33.04

The share price is 35% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$21.41Price$33.04Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E10.6×8.8×12.5×$32.0644%
EV/EBITDA7.5×7.9×7.2×$32.0539%
Earnings power7.5% cost of equity––$37.9917%
Fair value$33.04100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 8.8
  • Telephone Communications median 12.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$1.12B
Value traded per 1% price move
$765.43M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.3%
Volatility (annualized)
29%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.66
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.32

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

19.2%+13.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

17.5%+21.1 pts over 5 years