Southern Co (SOJE) stock analysis
Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $17.38BP/E 3.7Yield 19.30%
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Weak6 of 30 checks passed
Southern passes 6 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
P/E below its 5-year median
Southern's P/E of 22.6 is below its own 5-year median of 22.7.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 66.6% of net income.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Southern's EV/EBITDA of 13.2 is below its 5-year median of 13.6.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 11.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $93.71 is above our fair value estimate of $83.91.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 6.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation2/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Southern's P/E of 22.6 is below its own 5-year median of 22.7.
P/E above the industry
Southern's P/E of 22.6 is above the Electric Services median of 21.7.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Southern's EV/EBITDA of 13.2 is below its 5-year median of 13.6.
P/S above the industry
Southern's price-to-sales of 3.57 is above the Electric Services median of 2.75 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading above fair value
The share price of $93.71 is above our fair value estimate of $83.91.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 11.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 6.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 6.4% over the last twelve months; the Electric Services median is 7.8%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin above the industry
Southern's net margin of 15.4% is above the Electric Services median of 8.8%.
Financial health0/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 14.1% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.79 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.85; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Southern paid dividends worth 3.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Southern yields 3.2%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 66.6% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$83.91
The share price is 12% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 22.2× | 22.7× | 21.7× | $91.98 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.1× | 13.6× | 12.7× | $92.61 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 7.5% cost of equity | – | – | $42.07 | 17% |
| Fair value | $83.91 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 22.7
- Electric Services median 21.7
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $525.08M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $653.16M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 7.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 18%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.23
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.23
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +10.6% | +0.3% | +7.7% | +5.4% | |
| Operating income | +3.1% | +10.7% | +8.3% | +5.5% | |
| Net income | -1.4% | – | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -1.8% | +6.3% | +6.0% | +4.2% | |
| Dividend per share | +2.8% | +2.9% | +3.0% | +3.2% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | 12.5% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 2.9% | |
| Current ratio | 0.75 | 0.71 | 0.65 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.92 | 1.76 | 2.02 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 6.14× | 5.47× | 5.33× | |
| Capex to revenue | 36.7% | 36.9% | 43.1% | |
| Diluted shares | 958M | 1.06B | 1.11B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Southern generated $39.61B from operations and spent $60.98B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 76% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 14.7% | 0.20× | 4.35× | 12.5% |
| FY2024 | 16.5% | 0.19× | 4.40× | 13.6% |
| FY2023 | 15.7% | 0.18× | 4.43× | 12.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$4.34B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$9.80B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.2% → 3.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$9.80B vs $4.34B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell40.5% → 42.2%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.67 → 0.65
- No dilutionShare count did not rise1.10B → 1.11B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.19 → 0.20