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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGM) stock analysis

GOOGMNasdaqServices-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.Fiscal year ends December 31Also trades as GOOG, GOOGL, GOOGN
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Jul 23, 2026Score 21/3028% below fair value
$41.29−1.24 (-2.92%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $3.41TP/E 14.0Yield 0.30%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth5Performance6Health5Dividend1

Solid21 of 30 checks passed

Alphabet passes 21 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $279.84 is below our fair value estimate of $388.19.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 48.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 30.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 30.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Alphabet's EV/EBITDA of 22.2 is above its 5-year median of 20.7.

  • P/B above the industry

    Alphabet's price-to-book of 5.34 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.29.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 6.7% five years ago to 15.6%.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Alphabet's P/E of 14.1 is below its own 5-year median of 25.5.

  • P/E below the industry

    Alphabet's P/E of 14.1 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 26.0.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Alphabet's EV/EBITDA of 22.2 is above its 5-year median of 20.7.

  • P/B above the industry

    Alphabet's price-to-book of 5.34 is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.29.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $279.84 is below our fair value estimate of $388.19.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 12.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 33.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 111% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 26.8% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 20.1% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 10.8%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (2026 CapEx investments, Feb 4, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 60.9% over the last twelve months, against 58.9% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 48.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 30.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 30.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Alphabet's return on equity of 48.7% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -0.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 26.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 54.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 27.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Alphabet's net margin of 54.8% is above the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of -4.9%.

Financial health5/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 15.6% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 6.7% five years ago to 15.6%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 185% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 65.6 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.72 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 9.34; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Alphabet paid dividends worth 0.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Alphabet yields 0.3%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$388.19

The share price is 28% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$279.84Price$388.19Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E25.8×25.5×26.0×$512.6853%
EV/EBITDA19.4×20.7×18.1×$245.9247%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others11.0% cost of equity––$53.47–
Fair value$388.19100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 25.5
  • Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 26.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$10.22B
Value traded per 1% price move
$7.37B

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.6%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.07
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.20

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2025

Gross margin

59.7%+6.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

32.0%+9.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

32.8%+10.7 pts over 5 years