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Greif, Inc (GEF.B) stock analysis

GEF.BNYSEMetal Shipping Barrels, Drums, Kegs & PailsFiscal year ends September 30Also trades as GEF
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Jul 29, 2026Score 7/30
$114.85−1.34 (-1.15%)

Close on Oct 29, 2026Market cap –P/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance1Health4Dividend0

Weak7 of 30 checks passed

Greif passes 7 of the 30 checks behind our score; 15 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 34.4% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 9.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 47.6% of total debt.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 23.5% over the last twelve months; the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median is 8.7%.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 7.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 4.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -7.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -28.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.5% a year.

Valuation0/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B against the industry

    Needs positive book value.

  • Price against fair value

    We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.

  • Margin of safety

    Depends on the fair value estimate.

Growth2/6

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -7.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -28.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.5% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 23.5% over the last twelve months; the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median is 8.7%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (fiscal 2026 tax rate excluding adjustments, Jul 31, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 21.7% over the last twelve months, against 20.8% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 7.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 4.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Greif's return on equity of 7.3% is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 7.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 9.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 4.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.0%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Greif's net margin of 4.4% is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 4.4%.

Financial health4/6

  • Low debt

    Debt is 34.4% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 243% five years ago to 34.4%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 47.6% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.29 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    Greif has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

We don't publish a fair value for Greif. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$30.21M
Value traded per 1% price move
$27.39M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.5%
Volatility (annualized)
24%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.64
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.74

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2024

Gross margin

20.6%−0.2 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

7.8%−0.9 pts over 5 years

Net margin

6.2%+2.5 pts over 5 years