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Dillard's, Inc. (DDT) stock analysis

DDTTXSERetail-Department StoresFiscal year ends January 30Also trades as DDS
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Sep 4, 2026Score 11/309% below fair value
$25.56+0.07 (+0.27%)

Close on Oct 29, 2026Market cap $10.32BP/E –Yield 4.71%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth1Performance3Health2Dividend4

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Dillard's passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 11 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $660.84 is below our fair value estimate of $724.84.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 33.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 45.8% over five years.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 8.62; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 76.6% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 8.8% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -10.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • P/B above the industry

    Dillard's's price-to-book of 4.87 is above the General Merchandise Stores median of 4.87.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Dillard's's price-to-book of 4.87 is above the General Merchandise Stores median of 4.87.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $660.84 is below our fair value estimate of $724.84.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 8.8% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -10.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 0.2% over the last twelve months; the General Merchandise Stores median is 8.6%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 39.8% over the last twelve months, against 38.5% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 33.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 45.8% over five years.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Dillard's's return on equity of 33.8% is above the General Merchandise Stores median of 24.9%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 10.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 10.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Dillard's's net margin of 10.3% is above the General Merchandise Stores median of 4.0%.

Financial health2/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.03 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 8.62; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Dillard's paid dividends worth 0.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Dillard's yields 0.2%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 71.3% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 76.6% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$724.84

The share price is 9% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$660.84Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA12.2×–12.2×$877.1170%
Earnings power11.5% cost of equity––$369.5630%
Fair value$724.84100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • General Merchandise Stores median 20.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$97.31M
Value traded per 1% price move
$44.86M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.1%
Volatility (annualized)
42%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.10
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.30

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

39.0%+11.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

8.7%+10.3 pts over 5 years