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CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO.PA) stock analysis

CTO.PANYSEReal Estate Investment TrustsFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as CTO
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 27, 2026Score 16/3036% below fair value
$19.83+0.01 (+0.05%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $743.34MP/E 14.6Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth3Performance3Health0Dividend4

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

CTO Realty Growth passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 35.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $19.71 is below our fair value estimate of $30.67.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 22.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • P/E below its 5-year median

    CTO Realty Growth's P/E of 14.5 is below its own 5-year median of 31.7.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 2.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 33.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.2 times; we look for at least 5.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    CTO Realty Growth's P/E of 14.5 is below its own 5-year median of 31.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    CTO Realty Growth's P/E of 14.5 is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 25.0.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    CTO Realty Growth's EV/EBITDA of 5.9 is below its 5-year median of 7.4.

  • P/B below the industry

    CTO Realty Growth's price-to-book of 1.11 is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 1.20.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $19.71 is below our fair value estimate of $30.67.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 35.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 22.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 14.3% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Investing median is 4.4%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (2026 Core FFO per Common Share - Diluted, Jul 28, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 75.1% over the last twelve months, against 74.2% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 2.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    CTO Realty Growth's return on equity of 8.5% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 3.4%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 33.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 32.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    CTO Realty Growth's net margin of 32.6% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 11.4%.

Financial health0/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.2 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.03; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    CTO Realty Growth paid dividends worth 7.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 7.7% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; CTO Realty Growth yields 7.7%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 97.2% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$30.67

The share price is 36% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$19.71Price$30.67Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E28.4×31.7×25.0×$38.6040%
EV/EBITDA8.9×7.4×10.5×$29.9335%
P/B1.0×0.9×1.2×$18.4210%
Earnings power7.8% cost of equity––$19.4315%
Fair value$30.67100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 31.7
  • Miscellaneous Investing median 25.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$7.47M
Value traded per 1% price move
$7.88M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
7.1%
Volatility (annualized)
19%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.78
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.57

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

74.6%+1.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

22.7%+1.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

6.7%−132.5 pts over 5 years