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CMS Energy Corp (CMS.PC) stock analysis

CMS.PCNYSEElectric & Other Services CombinedFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as CMS, CMSA, CMSC, CMSD
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 27, 2026Score 9/304% below fair value
$15.77+0.06 (+0.38%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $4.90BP/E 4.7Yield 13.76%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth2Performance2Health1Dividend2

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

CMS Energy passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $70.10 is below our fair value estimate of $73.23.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 7.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Guidance raised

    CMS Energy raised its 2026 adjusted earnings guidance outlook on Feb 5, 2026.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 4.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 4.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 195% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    CMS Energy's P/E of 21.1 is above its own 5-year median of 20.7.

  • P/E above the industry

    CMS Energy's P/E of 21.1 is above the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median of 19.2.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    CMS Energy's EV/EBITDA of 13.7 is below its 5-year median of 13.8.

  • P/B above the industry

    CMS Energy's price-to-book of 2.25 is above the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median of 1.70.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $70.10 is below our fair value estimate of $73.23.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 4.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 7.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 0.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.2% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 9.9% over the last twelve months; the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median is 5.4%.

  • Guidance raised

    CMS Energy raised its 2026 adjusted earnings guidance outlook on Feb 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 4.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    CMS Energy's return on equity of 11.3% is above the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median of 9.6%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 7.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 11.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.2%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    CMS Energy's net margin of 11.6% is below the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median of 11.7%.

Financial health1/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 195% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 224% five years ago to 195%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 11.3% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.0 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.94 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.86; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    CMS Energy paid dividends worth 3.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; CMS Energy yields 3.2%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$73.23

The share price is 4% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$70.10Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E19.9×20.7×19.2×$66.3040%
EV/EBITDA13.8×13.8×13.7×$72.5535%
P/B2.1×2.5×1.7×$65.7510%
Earnings power7.5% cost of equity––$98.2615%
Fair value$73.23100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 20.7
  • Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median 19.2

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$290.78M
Value traded per 1% price move
$308.01M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
8.2%
Volatility (annualized)
18%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.42
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.28

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

20.2%+1.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

12.5%+0.8 pts over 5 years