CMS Energy Corp (CMS.PC) stock analysis
Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $4.90BP/E 4.7Yield 13.76%
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Mixed9 of 30 checks passed
CMS Energy passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 2/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $70.10 is below our fair value estimate of $73.23.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 7.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Guidance raised
CMS Energy raised its 2026 adjusted earnings guidance outlook on Feb 5, 2026.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 4.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 4.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 195% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Valuation2/6
P/E above its 5-year median
CMS Energy's P/E of 21.1 is above its own 5-year median of 20.7.
P/E above the industry
CMS Energy's P/E of 21.1 is above the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median of 19.2.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
CMS Energy's EV/EBITDA of 13.7 is below its 5-year median of 13.8.
P/B above the industry
CMS Energy's price-to-book of 2.25 is above the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median of 1.70.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $70.10 is below our fair value estimate of $73.23.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 4.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 7.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 0.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.2% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 9.9% over the last twelve months; the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median is 5.4%.
Guidance raised
CMS Energy raised its 2026 adjusted earnings guidance outlook on Feb 5, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 4.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
CMS Energy's return on equity of 11.3% is above the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median of 9.6%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 7.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 11.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.2%.
Net margin below the industry
CMS Energy's net margin of 11.6% is below the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median of 11.7%.
Financial health1/6
High debt
Debt is 195% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 224% five years ago to 195%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 11.3% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 2.0 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.94 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.86; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend2/6
Pays a dividend
CMS Energy paid dividends worth 3.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; CMS Energy yields 3.2%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$73.23
The share price is 4% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.9× | 20.7× | 19.2× | $66.30 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.8× | 13.8× | 13.7× | $72.55 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.1× | 2.5× | 1.7× | $65.75 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.5% cost of equity | – | – | $98.26 | 15% |
| Fair value | $73.23 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 20.7
- Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median 19.2
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $290.78M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $308.01M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 8.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 18%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.42
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.28
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +13.6% | -0.2% | +5.9% | +2.8% | |
| Operating income | +16.1% | +12.2% | +7.0% | +3.9% | |
| Net income | +6.8% | +8.6% | +7.2% | +7.4% | |
| EPS, diluted | +6.0% | +7.4% | +6.0% | +6.4% | |
| Dividend per share | +5.3% | +5.7% | +5.9% | +6.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | |
| Return on assets | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | |
| Current ratio | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.98 | |
| Debt to equity | 2.24 | 2.24 | 2.05 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 4.48× | 5.34× | 6.02× | |
| Interest coverage | 2.9× | 2.4× | 2.2× | |
| Capex to revenue | 26.1% | 36.0% | – | |
| Diluted shares | 279M | 286M | 301M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
CMS Energy does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 12.5% | 0.23× | 4.37× | 12.3% |
| FY2024 | 13.3% | 0.22× | 4.40× | 12.7% |
| FY2023 | 11.9% | 0.23× | 4.46× | 12.2% |
| FY2022 | 9.7% | 0.29× | 4.40× | 12.3% |
| FY2021 | 18.5% | 0.25× | 4.82× | 22.3% |
| FY2020 | 11.8% | 0.23× | 5.37× | 14.4% |
| FY2019 | 10.3% | 0.26× | 5.26× | 13.9% |
| FY2018 | 9.6% | 0.29× | 5.17× | 14.3% |
| FY2017 | 7.0% | 0.29× | 5.14× | 10.6% |
| FY2016 | 8.6% | 0.31× | 5.12× | 13.5% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.07B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$2.24B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.0% → 3.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$2.24B vs $1.07B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell42.3% → 44.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.79 → 0.98
- No dilutionShare count did not rise298M → 301M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.22 → 0.24