Central Garden & Pet Co (CENTA) stock analysis
Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $2.16BP/E 12.9Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Solid15 of 30 checks passed
Central Garden & Pet passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 6/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 20.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $45.58 is below our fair value estimate of $57.44.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 6.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 20.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.2% a year.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 10.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 9.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 68.3% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation6/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Central Garden & Pet's P/E of 17.0 is below its own 5-year median of 19.5.
P/E below the industry
Central Garden & Pet's P/E of 17.0 is below the Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median of 24.6.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Central Garden & Pet's EV/EBITDA of 9.2 is below its 5-year median of 11.0.
P/B below the industry
Central Garden & Pet's price-to-book of 1.63 is below the Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median of 1.66.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $45.58 is below our fair value estimate of $57.44.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 20.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 4.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 20.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.2% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -1.2% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median is 3.8%.
Guidance raised
Central Garden & Pet raised its fiscal 2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 32.5% over the last twelve months, against 31.1% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 10.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 9.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Central Garden & Pet's return on equity of 10.0% is above the Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median of -0.6%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 6.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 5.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.3%.
Net margin above the industry
Central Garden & Pet's net margin of 5.4% is above the Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median of -0.1%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 68.3% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 64.5% five years ago to 68.3%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 32.7% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 4.4 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 3.79 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.80; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Central Garden & Pet has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$57.44
The share price is 21% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 22.0× | 19.5× | 24.6× | $58.99 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.0× | 11.0× | 11.0× | $54.94 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.7× | 1.8× | 1.7× | $48.71 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.0% cost of equity | – | – | $64.93 | 15% |
| Fair value | $57.44 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 19.5
- Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median 24.6
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $3.36M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $3.66M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 10.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 27%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.57
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.60
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -2.2% | -2.1% | +3.0% | +6.6% | |
| Gross profit | +5.7% | +0.2% | +4.6% | +7.4% | |
| Operating income | +34.9% | -1.3% | +4.8% | +10.6% | |
| Net income | +50.8% | +2.3% | +6.2% | +17.7% | |
| EPS, diluted | +57.4% | +4.4% | +7.7% | +17.4% | |
| Free cash flow | -17.2% | – | +5.6% | +16.1% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | |
| Return on assets | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | |
| Current ratio | 3.38 | 3.46 | 3.67 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.71 | 0.64 | 0.75 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.72× | 0.11× | 0.92× | |
| Interest coverage | 3.0× | 4.5× | 4.3× | |
| Inventory turnover | 3.7× | 4.2× | 2.9× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 64M | 68M | 64M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Central Garden & Pet generated $1.39B from operations and spent $640.54M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 52% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 5.2% | 0.87× | 2.29× | 10.4% |
| FY2024 | 3.4% | 0.92× | 2.31× | 7.2% |
| FY2023 | 3.8% | 0.99× | 2.39× | 9.0% |
| FY2022 | 4.6% | 1.04× | 2.50× | 11.9% |
| FY2021 | 4.6% | 1.21× | 2.37× | 13.2% |
| FY2020 | 4.5% | 1.24× | 2.11× | 11.6% |
| FY2019 | 3.9% | 1.21× | 2.02× | 9.5% |
| FY2018 | 5.6% | 1.38× | 2.02× | 15.6% |
| FY2017 | 3.8% | 1.65× | 2.09× | 13.3% |
| FY2016 | 2.4% | 1.60× | 2.16× | 8.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$162.84M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$332.51M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.2% → 4.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$332.51M vs $162.84M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell33.5% → 32.9%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose3.66 → 3.67
- No dilutionShare count did not rise67M → 64M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year29.49% → 31.87%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.95 → 0.88