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Central Garden & Pet Co (CENTA) stock analysis

CENTANasdaqWholesale-Miscellaneous Nondurable GoodsFiscal year ends September 27Also trades as CENT
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 6, 2026Score 15/3021% below fair value
$39.12+0.33 (+0.85%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $2.16BP/E 12.9Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth3Performance4Health2Dividend0

Solid15 of 30 checks passed

Central Garden & Pet passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 20.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $45.58 is below our fair value estimate of $57.44.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 6.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 20.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.2% a year.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 9.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 68.3% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Central Garden & Pet's P/E of 17.0 is below its own 5-year median of 19.5.

  • P/E below the industry

    Central Garden & Pet's P/E of 17.0 is below the Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median of 24.6.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Central Garden & Pet's EV/EBITDA of 9.2 is below its 5-year median of 11.0.

  • P/B below the industry

    Central Garden & Pet's price-to-book of 1.63 is below the Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median of 1.66.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $45.58 is below our fair value estimate of $57.44.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 20.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 4.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 20.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.2% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -1.2% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median is 3.8%.

  • Guidance raised

    Central Garden & Pet raised its fiscal 2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 32.5% over the last twelve months, against 31.1% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 9.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Central Garden & Pet's return on equity of 10.0% is above the Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median of -0.6%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 6.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 5.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Central Garden & Pet's net margin of 5.4% is above the Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median of -0.1%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 68.3% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 64.5% five years ago to 68.3%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 32.7% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.4 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.79 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.80; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Central Garden & Pet has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$57.44

The share price is 21% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$45.58Price$57.44Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.0×19.5×24.6×$58.9940%
EV/EBITDA11.0×11.0×11.0×$54.9435%
P/B1.7×1.8×1.7×$48.7110%
Earnings power8.0% cost of equity––$64.9315%
Fair value$57.44100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 19.5
  • Wholesale Trade-non-durable Goods median 24.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$3.36M
Value traded per 1% price move
$3.66M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
10.1%
Volatility (annualized)
27%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.57
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.60

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

31.9%+2.3 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

8.0%+0.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

5.2%+0.7 pts over 5 years