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Blaize Holdings, Inc. (BZAIW) stock analysis

BZAIWNasdaqSemiconductors & Related DevicesFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as BZAI
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 13, 2026Score 9/3086% below fair value
$0.02+0.00 (0.00%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $28.33MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth1Performance0Health5Dividend0

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

Blaize passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 15 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 85.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $0.20 is below our fair value estimate of $1.37.

  • No debt

    Blaize has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

What to watch

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is -14.26; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Guidance lowered

    Blaize lowered its full-year 2026 revenue outlook on Oct 6, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 13.6% over the last twelve months, against 69.6% a year earlier.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Blaize's return on equity of -427% is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 4.7%.

Valuation3/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Blaize's price-to-book of 0.66 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.71.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $0.20 is below our fair value estimate of $1.37.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 85.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6

  • Revenue growth over 3 years

    Needs three years of positive revenue.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 1236% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 14.2%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Blaize lowered its full-year 2026 revenue outlook on Oct 6, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 13.6% over the last twelve months, against 69.6% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6

  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Blaize's return on equity of -427% is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 4.7%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Blaize's net margin of -161% is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 2.6%.

Financial health5/6

  • No debt

    Blaize has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.72 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is -14.26; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    Blaize has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

Our estimate per share

$1.37

The share price is 86% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$0.20Price$1.37Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/B3.7×–3.7×$1.1050%
P/S4.7×–4.7×$1.6550%
Fair value$1.37100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/B at month end
  • Electronic Components and Accessories median 3.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$872.99K
Value traded per 1% price move
$176.89K

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
58.3%
Volatility (annualized)
135%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.74
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.22

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2021 to 2025

Gross margin

16.0%

Operating margin

-268.8%

Net margin

-535.6%