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Brown Forman Corp (BF.A) stock analysis

BF.ANYSEBeveragesFiscal year ends April 30Also trades as BF.B
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Sep 2, 2026Score 18/3024% below fair value
$28.75+0.22 (+0.77%)

Close on Oct 29, 2026Market cap $13.19BP/E 18.5Yield 3.18%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth1Performance4Health5Dividend3

Solid18 of 30 checks passed

Brown Forman passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 24.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $28.04 is below our fair value estimate of $36.93.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 18.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 25.7% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 13.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • High debt

    Debt is 61.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 4.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Brown Forman's P/E of 18.1 is below its own 5-year median of 24.1.

  • P/E below the industry

    Brown Forman's P/E of 18.1 is below the Beverages median of 30.3.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Brown Forman's EV/EBITDA of 13.8 is below its 5-year median of 18.3.

  • P/B above the industry

    Brown Forman's price-to-book of 3.24 is above the Beverages median of 3.07.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $28.04 is below our fair value estimate of $36.93.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 24.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -14.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -4.6% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -0.8% over the last twelve months; the Beverages median is 5.3%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Brown Forman lowered its fiscal 2026 forecasted effective tax rate outlook on Mar 4, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 60.7% over the last twelve months, against 59.0% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 18.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 25.7% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 13.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Brown Forman's return on equity of 18.1% is above the Beverages median of 9.2%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 4.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 18.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Brown Forman's net margin of 18.4% is above the Beverages median of 7.1%.

Financial health5/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 61.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 96.3% five years ago to 61.5%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 41.5% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 9.6 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.26 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.23; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Brown Forman paid dividends worth 3.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Brown Forman yields 3.3%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 59.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 46.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$36.93

The share price is 24% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$28.04Price$36.93Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E27.2×24.1×30.3×$42.1440%
EV/EBITDA17.6×18.3×16.9×$36.9435%
P/B5.1×7.2×3.1×$44.3010%
Earnings power7.9% cost of equity––$18.1015%
Fair value$36.93100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 24.1
  • Beverages median 30.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$69.92M
Value traded per 1% price move
$43.50M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
22.0%
Volatility (annualized)
39%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.13
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.59

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

60.5%+0.0 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

25.5%−8.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

18.2%−7.9 pts over 5 years