Brown Forman Corp (BF.A) stock analysis
Close on Oct 29, 2026Market cap $13.19BP/E 18.5Yield 3.18%
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Solid18 of 30 checks passed
Brown Forman passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 24.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $28.04 is below our fair value estimate of $36.93.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 18.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 25.7% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 13.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
High debt
Debt is 61.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 4.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Brown Forman's P/E of 18.1 is below its own 5-year median of 24.1.
P/E below the industry
Brown Forman's P/E of 18.1 is below the Beverages median of 30.3.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Brown Forman's EV/EBITDA of 13.8 is below its 5-year median of 18.3.
P/B above the industry
Brown Forman's price-to-book of 3.24 is above the Beverages median of 3.07.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $28.04 is below our fair value estimate of $36.93.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 24.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -14.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -4.6% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -0.8% over the last twelve months; the Beverages median is 5.3%.
Guidance lowered
Brown Forman lowered its fiscal 2026 forecasted effective tax rate outlook on Mar 4, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 60.7% over the last twelve months, against 59.0% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 18.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 25.7% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 13.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Brown Forman's return on equity of 18.1% is above the Beverages median of 9.2%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 4.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 18.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.9%.
Net margin above the industry
Brown Forman's net margin of 18.4% is above the Beverages median of 7.1%.
Financial health5/6
High debt
Debt is 61.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 96.3% five years ago to 61.5%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 41.5% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 9.6 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 3.26 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.23; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Brown Forman paid dividends worth 3.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Brown Forman yields 3.3%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 59.1% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 46.1% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$36.93
The share price is 24% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 27.2× | 24.1× | 30.3× | $42.14 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.6× | 18.3× | 16.9× | $36.94 | 35% |
| P/B | 5.1× | 7.2× | 3.1× | $44.30 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.9% cost of equity | – | – | $18.10 | 15% |
| Fair value | $36.93 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 24.1
- Beverages median 30.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $69.92M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $43.50M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 22.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 39%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.13
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.59
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -1.2% | -2.4% | +2.6% | -0.2% | |
| Gross profit | +1.5% | -1.6% | +2.6% | +1.0% | |
| Operating income | -9.6% | -3.9% | -3.0% | -4.2% | |
| Net income | -17.7% | -3.0% | -4.6% | -3.9% | |
| EPS, diluted | -16.8% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -3.1% | |
| Free cash flow | +107.2% | +25.0% | +3.4% | +7.9% | |
| Dividend per share | +3.0% | +5.1% | +5.3% | +5.7% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 45.6% | 39.0% | 17.8% | |
| Return on assets | 15.2% | 14.7% | 8.9% | |
| Current ratio | 2.42 | 4.27 | 3.24 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.57 | 0.96 | 0.62 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.84× | 1.13× | 2.01× | |
| Interest coverage | 17.1× | 14.4× | 9.7× | |
| Inventory turnover | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.6× | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 488M | 481M | 467M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Brown Forman generated $3.82B from operations and spent $4.08B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 20% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 18.2% | 0.49× | 1.99× | 17.8% |
| FY2025 | 21.9% | 0.49× | 2.16× | 23.1% |
| FY2024 | 24.5% | 0.52× | 2.35× | 30.2% |
| FY2023 | 18.5% | 0.60× | 2.36× | 26.1% |
| FY2022 | 21.3% | 0.61× | 2.39× | 31.1% |
| FY2021 | 26.1% | 0.56× | 2.65× | 39.0% |
| FY2020 | 24.6% | 0.62× | 3.01× | 45.7% |
| FY2019 | 25.1% | 0.66× | 3.41× | 56.4% |
| FY2018 | 22.1% | 0.68× | 3.57× | 53.4% |
| FY2017 | 22.3% | 0.68× | 3.00× | 45.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$715.00M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.00B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year10.6% → 8.8%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.00B vs $715.00M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell29.9% → 26.4%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose3.88 → 3.24
- No dilutionShare count did not rise473M → 467M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year58.94% → 60.54%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.49 → 0.49